Showing posts with label Week 6. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Week 6. Show all posts

Thursday, October 11, 2012

2012 NFL Game predictions-Week 6

As a Bills fan I just want to redact last weekend from my mind.  But, on the prediction front, I did a nice job, going 10-4, making it two consecutive weeks picking impressively.  At 47-30, I'm making up the so-so start.  That said though, just want to take a minute or two and say wow, who would've thought Indianapolis would've pulled that one out.  The 3 other losses didn't shock me as much.  But this game, having that big lead, only to lose on the missed kick, wow, is all I can say.  If I seem shocked, well yeah, I am, out of all the games last week, this was my lock and my survivor pick.  This, the Vikings win over SF and the Cardinals victory over NE in weeks past, just go to show you, there's no such thing as a guaranteed win in the NFL, as strange things aren't just possible, they do happen, and for this season, 3 out of 5 weeks has a shocker in there, pretty high odds.  Anyhow, just something to keep in mind as things move forward.  And on that note, we'll do just that.

It's on to week 6, where New Orleans, Jacksonville, Chicago and Carolina have their byes, leaving 14 games to try and get a handle on.

I'm not making any excuses, no, I try not to do that, especially before the games are played, but this week's games, I have to say were the toughest to call so far this season.  While I have a feeling of how things should pan out, or at least how I think they will, my confidence is pretty low for a few of them, as there are an easy 4 games this week I think could realistically go either way.  So, onto the picks.

Thursday Night

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennessee Titans

Tennessee is still without their talented 2nd year QB Jake Locker for this one.  Star WR Kenny Britt is still getting back into game shape and RB Chris Johnson has barely showed up since signing his big contract after his holdout last year.  To make matters worse, there defense has been scored upon more than any other team.  This is extremely hard to believe, that anyone could have a poorer defense than my Bills in any respect this year, but it's true, not by much, but it is in fact true.  On the other side of the ball, we have a Steeler offense that isn't quite gelling yet.  Big Ben's having some issues with his new play caller Todd Haley and the line's been struggling a bit, mainly due to injuries, but still, struggling.  They got a shot in the arm last week with RB Mendenhall's return, looking great in the process.  But going against the Titans defense shouldn't be hard.  On defense, they'll be without LB Woodley and S Polamalu, who just returned last week, only to get hurt again.  Pittsburgh should have this one.  27-13

Sunday Games

Oakland Raiders @ Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta is rolling right now and unless Oakland devised some foolproof scheme during their bye week, they'll be in trouble against Ryan and company this week.  For fantasy purposes I love the Raiders passing game though, as if Atlanta's defense does have a problem, it would have to be defending the pass, and having to play behind most of the game, I like the Raiders QB and WR's this week.  But in reality, not much of a game the way I see it.  Atlanta 34-14

Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens

Everyone's ripping on the Cowboys right now, pointing out this flaw and that flaw, when it's really only one flaw, and unfortunately it's one I don't see them overcoming this year, the Offensive Line.  Romo's not getting much time to throw and when he does it seems like highly drafter WR Dez Bryant can't hang on to the ball.  You'd think a shaky o-line would have it easier run blocking, but their not really opening extended holes for RB Murray either.  All this said, it creates a major dosage of pressure upon the defense, one that's played pretty well so far, which is kind of as advertised before the season started.  Baltimore is winning, but their identity isn't truly known yet, one week they win it on Flacco's arm, the next off Ray Rice's legs, or then, like last week, you get the familiar Raven theme of winning off your defense.  This, inconsistency is actually good in my mind though, as each aspect of the team has proven they can do their jobs extremely well, it's just getting all facets to come together in a single game that's been the problem.  Kind of scary to think of when they actually do, seeing their winning now anyhow.  To this game, I'd love to pick the Cowboy's here, as I do think it's not a bad matchup for Romo and his WR's against the Raven secondary, but I'm just not convinced the line will give him much time to get Torrie Smith open deep, which will completely alter their ability to diversify their attack.  I'm taking the Ravens.  21-17

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

Funny how things work out.  I was actually planning on taking the Browns this week.  I thought they'd been playing better each week, which they have been, and with this rivalry, teams typically play each other tough, so I thought they had a real shot to pull off the upset.  But, and a big but, after their poor play and loss against Miami last weekend, I have to think they'll get their ship aright and pull this one off.  But, as has been the theme with Cleveland so far, it'll be close throughout.  Cinci's too talented offensively not to pull this out now with the added reality check they had last week.  Bengals 28-16

St. Louis Rams @ Miami Dolphins

Rams are not flashy on offense and they just lost arguably their best weapon in WR Amendola.  Their defense is playing great though.  As a result, their better than what most thought before the season started. Almost a mirror image is the Dolphins, who are getting it done by strong defense and a spattering of offense.  This is a toss up in my book, but being at home and having a few more weapons to work with on offense, I'll take the fish in an ugly one. 18-13

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets

Another toss up in my book.  Jets are in free-fall while the Colts are actually looking deadly offensively.  I actually have gone back and forth several times here, seeing it easily play out either way, but I'll fall back on the level of defense, which I have to give a good-sized edge to the Jets, and then being at home as well, I've settled on NY.  24-20

Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles

Third toss up in a row for me.  I'm looking at my notes right now, and it reads 23-20 Philadelphia, but I'm switching that right now, to 21-17 Lions.  The reason, I just have a hunch that this explosive offense will have corrected things during their bye week and will come out flying, while the Eagles have been pedestrian at times on offense and should be able to be beaten, despite having a very good defense.  So yeah, I'll take a shot on the Lions. 21-17

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

How about a fourth toss up in a row?  Well, since you asked for it.  I have no idea, Buc's aren't looking great lately, Josh Freeman is looking awful and I'm just not scared of them.  That said, KC is forced to start Brady Quinn, which I have to start in my fantasy league btw, which is not a good thing.  I think TB should handle this one, unless of course the fantasy gods shine down on my and Quinn has a career game, which, in my opinion is highly doubtful though.  TB 31-20

Buffalo Bills @ Arizona Cardinals

Ok.  Won't spend long on this one. Arizona is 4-1, but they are down to their 3rd string RB.  Ok, but buffalo's the worst run defense in the league. Somethings gotta give.  Buffalo's defense, which was lauded before playing a snap as one of the dominant lines in football this year is embarrassing this year.  Ok. But, Arizona's offensive line is the absolute worst line in football.  Correct.  Something's gotta give.  Arizona's defense is pretty good, not great, but pretty darned good.  Buffalo's offense can be explosive, but they haven't been and their down to a 3rd string RG, not ideal.  But, perhaps it's the homer in me, perhaps it's that I just can't see this gross product acting as it has for a third consecutive week, getting shredded by William Powell and Kevin Kolb, or perhaps it's just that I think Stevie Johnson can beat Patrick Peterson, which they'll feel otherwise and won't double him, something he'll make them pay for early or, finally, perhaps it's the belief that Arizona won't be able to stop CJ Spiller in space, which I have to believe that Chan Gailey will make every attempt to bring to fruition.  Yes, I know, that's a lot of if's and beliefs but it's sitting their in my gut right now, doesn't feel great, but it's what it is.  Buffalo big 38-14

New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks

Nobody plays well against Seattle in Seattle.  I don't think that will change this week.  It'll be a down week for Brady and company but it'll still be enough to beat Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch, (who I do like for fantasy this week for what it's worth).  Too bad the replacement refs aren't still going, perhaps this one would've had a chance to go differently.  NE 23-10

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers

79-3.  That's SF's point differential the past two weeks, ironically against Buffalo and NY Jets.  I'm sure the Giants will be quick to point out, in this instance, their from NJ.  I think this will be a great game actually.  Another toss up, but I'm going to take the offense over the defense here and go with Big Blue.  I think Eli is creative enough in spreading the ball around, even without Nicks, if he doesn't go, I just think that's how you beat the niners, which will be another close one, but don't think it'll be won or lost on special teams like last year.  30-29
NYG

Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Redskins

Another Toss up.  But I have enough confidence to take Minnesota, even on the road.  Washington can be thrown on, especially up the seam.  Look for big games out of Kyle Rudolph and Harvin.  RGIII, if he goes, will have his looks, but I just don't see the big play against this defense.  Close one though.  24-21 Vikings

Green Bay Packers @ Houston Texans
Big toss up.  Coin toss actually.  Will GB recovery from a very disappointing season so far or will Houston continue it's dominance over everyone.  I'm taking the Packers, just because I think the loss of Cushing will be bigger than people are leading it on to be, and I think Aaron Rodgers is the best QB out there right now.  Will I be surprised if Houston rolls the Pack, nope.  Just think it'll come down to some late game heroics, which Rodgers will hit whoever's lining up at WR, perhaps it'll be Jordy Nelson's welcome to 2012 party.  GB 34-31

Monday Night Game

Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers

Yep, you guessed it, another Toss Up.  But I'll roll with Peyton Manning, even on the road.  I'd like to see Ryan Matthews continue from his performance last week, in which case I think I may be wrong, but I don't trust their coach in using him properly, and I do trust Peyton Manning.  So, Broncos it is. 30-23

See you in week 7.

Friday, October 14, 2011

Fantasy Football League Week 6 Game Predictions

Well, as we learned from last weeks games the bye weeks are a crapshoot.  In past seasons Bye week games were a huge disadvantage for teams suffering from missing players from their lineups.  This past week, the first of bye weeks for 2011, seemed pretty neutral for the most part, except, if any change was seen, it was the opposite as you'd expect.  Teams missing players scrambled on Sunday morning before kickoff and the few days leading up to the week for anyone really that they could plug in for a week to help them get through.  Nothing different there, but it did amaze me the amount of production these waiver wire guys produced.

A few examples:

Doug Baldwin nailing down a 20 point performance.  Doug who, well the Seattle receiver did have a decent fantasy performance in week one, but really hasn't sniffed points since.  That is, until this past weekend.

Tim Tebow, who was a backup leading into the week.  The theory with playing Tebow was the fact that he had the possibility of running a few wildcat plays here or there, and there's always the chance of a cheap goal-line TD. Well Orton stinks the joint up, and enter Tebow who scored 15 points in the second half.

These were just two of the WW all-stars from week 5.  It really is a crapshoot and I'm not going to bother trying to figure out what teams might possibly be hurt from bye week problems, as there's just as good of a chance that the scrubs will have all that snot-factor that goes along with WW wonders.

I went 4-2 last week and am now 21-9 for the season.  Not bad, but easily could be better.

The two games I did lose were the Cinderella Story writing yet another chapter, this time at the expense of Thug Life, where apparently name changes don't do what they used to do in another time, another place.

The Iron Pigs, the team that was riddled the most by bye week problems outlasted a red-hot Mission:Repeat team.  Bye Week brilliance at it's finest.

On to Week 6

A dejected Blood & Thunder team, who was the recipient of the Biggest Blowout of the week, getting trounced by Pierre Garcon, Doug Baldwin and co.  This week he takes on that Mission: Repeat squad, who are also plugging the bye week holes in a major way.  What does this tell you?  Yep, go M:R in this one, in a Snot-Factor festival.  Mission:Repeat 108 Blood & Thunder 101

Repeal Obama stayed perfect for the season, although he did get a close scare there for awhile against F Philly.  This week he takes on that previously mentioned Thug Life.  This game probably shouldn't be pretty, but Thug Life has the early Vegas odds going for them, but then again RO hasn't submitted his final roster yet, and there are 2 positions left unfilled.  The mantra of "Can't win 'em all" keeps ringing, but I think the only way RO loses this week if the undefeated record goes to his head and decides on not picking up two snot players to plug in.  Repeal Obama 125 Thug Life 117

7QB's Deep can't even get the breaks when it comes to trades.  Desperately trying to make one last stab at getting a W he trades Tebow to Mission:Repeat for a great WR in Larry Fitzgerald, but also a WR who's on a bye this week.  0-6 just may be too difficult, if not impossible, a task to dig out from.  He takes on F Philly this week, a team that's been pretty good this year overall, and I think he's out to prove he deserves to be there with the playoff ranks.  F Philly 113 7 QB's Deep 106

Clean Slate is keeping his surprising season rolling and faces a still deadly 6 Wide Team.  I actually should pick 6 Wide here but I'll roll the dice on a Clean Slate team with some good plays this week. Clean Slate 122 6 Wide 119

LGBW Vs. Iron Pigs.  LGBW's players have been slowly coming along but I don't see them getting it done this week.  Iron Pigs is vastly underrated and could be in store for a good week come Sunday. Iron Pigs 109 LGBW 104

The real cinderella team so far this year is MVF, a team that only drafted half a team and has been plugging the roster with BPA and some roll of the dice type moves from the WW.  Us against the world Vs. Who Dey.  Battle for the silver slipper match.  Too many points been scored by MVF to pick against this unlikely lot.  I do like some of Cinderella Story's matchups, but I'll go MVF 140 Cinderella Story 133


Thursday, October 13, 2011

NFL Week 6 Game Predictions

Last week we saw the first of the NFL bye weeks.  With the bye weeks in session, the number of games on the schedule went from 16 to 13.  Although still above .500, I wasn't very pleased with the 8-5 prediction record I posted.  Through 5 weeks my record is now 53-24, still pretty good but easily could be better.

The Games I missed on last week.

Philadelphia @ Buffalo

I'm extremely happy I missed on this one.  The Bills defense came to play and gave Mike Vick fits all game, as they intercepted him four times over the course of the game.  The Eagles had so many other mistakes though, the game easily could have been much more lopsided than the score suggests.  Great game for the Bills, leaves Buffalo tied with NE for the AFC East lead, while Philly is in some trouble at 1-4.

San Francisco annihilated Tampa Bay 48-3.  And I thought it was going to be a close 20-19 TB victory.

Seattle came back with a late interception to oust the Giants at home 36-25.  I really gave the Seahawks no chance in this one, and although the largest upset of the week by far, it still leaves you shaking your head as to how this could have happened.

Oakland beat Houston 25-20.  I had a feeling that the passing of Owner Al Davis would either weigh too heavily upon the players or inspire them to victory.  I bet on the first, and as it turned out this team was extremely inspired to win won for their late owner.

I took the Titans to win but in my gut I wanted to take the Steelers.  It was just a case of poor play by Pittsburgh leading up to this game and then factoring the great play by Tennessee it seemed like a decision I had to make.  So what did happen, Big Ben threw for 5 TD's in a 21 point route of the Titans, that's all.

Week 6 Predictions

Buffalo @ NY Giants

The Bills, if it weren't for a bad call in the Cinci game, would be undefeated heading into this one.  The Giants should be ready to defend the pride stolen to them at home last week by Seattle.  Should be a good contest.  I'll pick the Bills to squeak out a close, but high-scoring game. Buffalo 34 NYG- 27

Indianapolis @ Cincinnati

The Colts looked better last week but they still lost the game and they gave up a pretty decent sized lead in the process.  The Bengals have one of the, if not the, best defense in the league right now.  The game won't be televised locally in the Cincinnati area but the outcome should be positive for Bengals fans.  Cincinnati 25  Indianapolis 16

Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh

The Jaguars are so one-dimensional right now.  Blaine Gabbert is getting better every week, but he's on the typical, non-Cam Newton, rookie QB pace.  Pittsburgh looked great last week, and at home I can't see the Jags doing anything to derail them.
Pittsburgh 27 Jacksonville 13

Philadelphia @ Washington

Philadelphia may be the most talented 1-4 team in NFL history, but that doesn't seem to prevent them from making every possible mistake throughout the course of a game.  So far the Redskins look good enough to win their games, which is different than just winning.  I should probably take Washington and gamble on the Eagles free-fall will continue but I'm going to guess it has to stop at some point.  Philadelphia 34 Washington 21

San Francisco @ Detroit

SF's defense has been playing lights out, and QB Alex Smith has been playing inspired football.  That said Detroit is crazy good right now. Detroit 20 SF 14

ST. Louis @ Green bay

These two teams are on two different realms altogether.  I look for an easy Packer win, extending their record to 6-0, keeping pace with their division rival Detroit. Green Bay 45  St. Louis 10

Carolina @ Atlanta

I want to pick Carolina here, and as poorly as the Falcons have been playing this year I would if the game was in Charlotte.  But it's not. So I'll take Atlanta in a close one. Atlanta 30  Carolina 27

Cleveland @ Oakland

Cleveland's played better ball lately.  They've had some time to rest some guys up and have had two weeks to prepare for this game.  Oakland could be spent from their emotional win last week.  I do expect the exhaustion of such an emotional situation to eventually set in, but not in front of their home crowd, for the first time since their owner's passing. Oakland 24 Cleveland 17

Houston @ Baltimore

Houston really needs to get things back together and in a big way.  It's obvious that the loss of their superstar WR Andre Johnson is having an effect on their offense, and they need to find other ways to produce.  I just don't see it happening this week, not against a good Ravens team that had a bye week last week and are home this week.  Good game but not good enough for Houston. Baltimore 28 Houston 20

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay

Tampa's not very good right now.  They have a lot of issues on offense and New Orleans is clicking, despite a close call last week.  I'll take NO on the road here.  NO 30 TB 21

Dallas @ New England

Should be a shootout in Foxboro.  That said, it should be an entertaining game.  One that sees Tom Brady having just a bit more in the tank than Romo and the Boys.  NE 38 Dallas 34

Minnesota @ Chicago

Chicago played alright despite the loss on MNF.  Minnesota won their first game last week at home against the reeling Cards.  I think Chicago is a better team than Minnesota, and although the better team doesn't always win, I think they do this week.  Chicago 17 Minnesota 13

Miami @ NY Jets

This should be a good game to watch.  We should find out a lot of information in this game.  As to how the Dolphins fare against a struggling Jets team, one they've had two weeks to game plan for.  I'm also one of the few that thinks they'll be much improved with Matt Moore leading their offense.  I've never been a Chad Henne fan and as unfortunate as the injury is for him personally, I think it'll turn out to be a positive for the team.  Then on the other hand you have the Jets, who've lost 3 straight games and looked abysmal the past two weeks.  Scores don't always provide a clear indication of how a team performed, and that's the case for NYJ. So it'll be interesting to see how they come out, at home, against Miami.  If Sanchez starts off slow, the NY crowd could get on him early.  This game should provide an indication as to both of these teams future success this year.  I'll hedge my beats by picking the team that I think is more talented, which just happens to be the home team as well.  NYJ 21  Miami 17

Teams on Bye this week: Tennessee, Seattle, KC, San Diego, Denver and Arizona.

Hope everyone has a good weekend of NFL action.