So I spent some time today going back through the NFL preseason picks I had made back on the 29th of August, and it's really interesting how those picks compared to what actually happened. This post will review where I went wrong and which ones were picked correctly.
Let's start with the playoffs and work backwards.
In the AFC, I had predicted:
New England #1 seed
Houston #2 seed
Baltimore #3 seed
San Diego #4 seed
Wildcards were
Pittsburgh & NY Jets
I had New England losing to the Chargers in the AFC championship game as well.
Well, I hit that NE, Houston and Baltimore would win their respective decisions, although, in reality the Ravens and the Texans would swap playoff seeding. I also correctly picked that Pittsburgh would be a wildcard team.
SD and NYJ did not make the playoffs, instead Denver was the #4 seed and Cincinnati was the last wildcard team.
I didn't fair as well in the NFC.
I had GB correct as the #1 seed, but then had Philadelphia and Arizona as the #2 and #4 seeds respectively, and neither made the postseason.
I had Atlanta winning the South, incorrect again and didn't even have NO in the playoffs, instead I had Dallas as the top wildcard team, who, again, missed the playoffs, but I did have Detroit correctly slotted as the #6 seed.
The NFC championship game had GB beating Philadelphia, which of course, the Giants would go on to win and then win the Super Bowl as well, and of course, the Giants were nowhere in my postseason predictions.
As for the regular season records, in the:
AFC EAST
I picked:
NE 12-4, not bad as they went 13-3
NYJ 10-6, a couple games off as they went 8-8
Buffalo 8-8, again missed by 2 games, 6-10 was their record
Miami 6-10- I hit this one correctly as they did finish 6-10
AFC NORTH
I picked
Baltimore 11-5, not bad, they finished 12-4
Pittsburgh, 11-5, again, not bad, they also finished 12-4
Cincinnati 5-11, way off here, they finished 9-7
Cleveland 5-11, not bad, a game off, 4-12 was their mark
quick note: I'm kind of proud I picked BAL & PIT to be tied for the top two spots here, even picking BAL winning Division correctly
AFC SOUTH
I picked
Houston 11-5, not bad, one game away from their 10-6 mark
Indianapolis 10-6, WAYYYYYYY off here, they finished 2-14
Jacksonville 6-10, again, not bad, one game off their 5-11 record
Tennessee 2-14, again a terrible pick, they finished 9-7
AFC WEST
I picked
SD 10-6, two games off from their 8-8 mark
KC 6-10, only a game off of where they finished at 7-9
Oakland 4-12, double that pick and you get their record, 8-8
Denver, 3-13, another horrible pick, won division at 8-8
In the NFC
NFC EAST
I picked
Philadelphia 11-5, 3 games off here from their 8-8 finish
Dallas 10-6, a pair of games away from their 8-8 mark
NYG, 7-9, only two games off from 9-7, but they did win SB so?
Washington 6-10, only a game off from their 5-11 mark
NFC NORTH
I Picked
GB 13-3, I thought they'd be great, but missed by 2, they were 15-1
Detroit 10-6, I hit this record on the mark
Chicago 8-8, Hit this one on the mark as well
Minnesota 7-9, was way off here, they finished 3-13
NFC SOUTH
I Picked
Atlanta 11-5, one game off their 10-6 finish
NO 10-6, three away from their 13-3 mark
TB 10-6, am ashamed I had them tied with NO, 4-12 they went
Carolina 4-12, did two games better than I thought at 6-10
NFC WEST
I picked
Arizona 10-6, off by 2, they finished 8-8
St. Louis 9-7, horrible picking again, 2-14 they finished
SF 4-12, brutal yet again here, they finished 13-3
Seattle 3-13, didn't give them enough credit either, finished 7-9
So, in the end, I guess I didn't do half bad for picking every game before the season started. I was certainly way off from what actually transpired, but that almost had to be assumed, seeing so many things can change in the NFL in any given week. Peyton Manning not playing effected both the Colts and the AFC, SF Defense coming out of almost nowhere effected the NFC. Things like these and others play a big part of an NFL season, but even with some of the terrible picks, I hit on a few and didn't do nearly as bad as I thought this experiment would prove.
I did outstanding picking week to week during the season, which, in the end is probably the only way to pick the games, as you have a better pulse for each team, each week and most of the variable that could and often do come into play.
But this was fun, a lot of work, but I may consider giving this preseason game another shot next year.
Anyhow, I hope this offered another take on the world of picking NFL games and offered a bit of amusement as well.
Showing posts with label recap. Show all posts
Showing posts with label recap. Show all posts
Wednesday, February 8, 2012
Wednesday, January 18, 2012
NFL Playoffs Championship Games
It was a pretty fun divisional round of the NFL playoffs last weekend. Outside of the New England Vs. Denver games all the games were pretty competitive and in that held a high level of entertainment value.
The Green Bay loss to the New York Giants was nothing but shocking to me. I was well aware of the Packers deficiencies on defense this year and also knew that Eli Manning can and has been able to get hot late in seasons and then into the playoffs before but I just didn't see the Giants defense, which really wasn't all that great, outside of JPP and pass rush, through the season, holding Aaron Rodgers and company down like they did. Perhaps the resting of the players hurt more than anyone could have foreseen?
The Baltimore Ravens win was impressive because it got them to the AFC championship game, but it was a sloppy game and if the Texans hadn't turned the ball over 4 times in this game I am thinking that it could have been a different outcome altogether. But a good deal of credit must be given to the Ravens defense as they did create the takeaways, but not enough was shown offensively in this one, nor during the season for that matter, to show me that they can seriously vie for the AFC's representation in the Super Bowl.
The game of the week, hands down, was the San Francisco 49ers last second win against New Orleans. This game was fun and exciting. It showed Alex Smith as a QB that can be the reason his team wins instead of a team that wins in spite of their lackluster QB. The action at the end of the game was great TV.
AFC Championship Game
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
If this was any other team facing the Patriots I'd feel a little better about their odds going against this maligned bunch of New England defenders, but the Ravens are by far, not an offensive juggernaut, which they'll need to be highly effective to keep pace with Tom Brady, his TE's and his offense this week, because they certainly can be that type of powerhouse offensive unit. I see this game as close, because of the Ravens defense, through 3 quarters but with the Patriots pulling away early in the fourth and making the score look worse than it actually was for 4 quarters. NE 35 Baltimore 17
NFC Championship Game
New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
The niners have the defense and last week, when so many naysayers, including myself, didn't think they could muster the offense to keep up with Drew Brees, were proved oh, so wrong, it looks like they have a complete team heading into the championship game. Eli Manning is, and has proven himself to be, a clutch big-game performer and this is, obviously, a big game. The Niners defense is for real though and they'll do their best to force the Giants into situations they don't want to be in. They also have a tendency to create turnovers. The Giants defense shut down Aaron Rodgers last week and Matt Ryan the week before so it's not out of the realm of possibility that they go ahead and shut Alex Smith down this week either. But I believe this game will be decided by the defense of the 49ers. The niners offense has shown, all season long, to be able to get into field goal range on a consistent basis. They trust their defensive unit so much that a bunch of field goals is A-ok with coach Harbaugh. So I firmly believe that Eli will need to rack up the points here for the giants to win. If he does then I like NY here, but, that said, with last week still on my mind, will, even then, Alex Smith be able to open things up like he did against the Saints. I'm not sure in that case, but I have faith in the SF defense to hold back the Giants just enough here. SF 24 NYG 20
SUPER BOWL New England Patriots Vs. San Francisco 49ers
A couple of side notes on this weekend's games:
If the Giants win, there will be a rematch of a recent Superbowl. Giants lost to the Ravens some years back and then it was the Giants that defeated the Patriots a few years ago, thus ending their bid for perfection.
If the Ravens beat the Patriots and SF beats the Giants we'll get a brother vs. brother showdown in the Super Bowl, a rematch of the Thanksgiving night game that Baltimore won at home.
Should be a fun couple of games. I know I'm looking forward to them.
The Green Bay loss to the New York Giants was nothing but shocking to me. I was well aware of the Packers deficiencies on defense this year and also knew that Eli Manning can and has been able to get hot late in seasons and then into the playoffs before but I just didn't see the Giants defense, which really wasn't all that great, outside of JPP and pass rush, through the season, holding Aaron Rodgers and company down like they did. Perhaps the resting of the players hurt more than anyone could have foreseen?
The Baltimore Ravens win was impressive because it got them to the AFC championship game, but it was a sloppy game and if the Texans hadn't turned the ball over 4 times in this game I am thinking that it could have been a different outcome altogether. But a good deal of credit must be given to the Ravens defense as they did create the takeaways, but not enough was shown offensively in this one, nor during the season for that matter, to show me that they can seriously vie for the AFC's representation in the Super Bowl.
The game of the week, hands down, was the San Francisco 49ers last second win against New Orleans. This game was fun and exciting. It showed Alex Smith as a QB that can be the reason his team wins instead of a team that wins in spite of their lackluster QB. The action at the end of the game was great TV.
AFC Championship Game
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
If this was any other team facing the Patriots I'd feel a little better about their odds going against this maligned bunch of New England defenders, but the Ravens are by far, not an offensive juggernaut, which they'll need to be highly effective to keep pace with Tom Brady, his TE's and his offense this week, because they certainly can be that type of powerhouse offensive unit. I see this game as close, because of the Ravens defense, through 3 quarters but with the Patriots pulling away early in the fourth and making the score look worse than it actually was for 4 quarters. NE 35 Baltimore 17
NFC Championship Game
New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
The niners have the defense and last week, when so many naysayers, including myself, didn't think they could muster the offense to keep up with Drew Brees, were proved oh, so wrong, it looks like they have a complete team heading into the championship game. Eli Manning is, and has proven himself to be, a clutch big-game performer and this is, obviously, a big game. The Niners defense is for real though and they'll do their best to force the Giants into situations they don't want to be in. They also have a tendency to create turnovers. The Giants defense shut down Aaron Rodgers last week and Matt Ryan the week before so it's not out of the realm of possibility that they go ahead and shut Alex Smith down this week either. But I believe this game will be decided by the defense of the 49ers. The niners offense has shown, all season long, to be able to get into field goal range on a consistent basis. They trust their defensive unit so much that a bunch of field goals is A-ok with coach Harbaugh. So I firmly believe that Eli will need to rack up the points here for the giants to win. If he does then I like NY here, but, that said, with last week still on my mind, will, even then, Alex Smith be able to open things up like he did against the Saints. I'm not sure in that case, but I have faith in the SF defense to hold back the Giants just enough here. SF 24 NYG 20
SUPER BOWL New England Patriots Vs. San Francisco 49ers
A couple of side notes on this weekend's games:
If the Giants win, there will be a rematch of a recent Superbowl. Giants lost to the Ravens some years back and then it was the Giants that defeated the Patriots a few years ago, thus ending their bid for perfection.
If the Ravens beat the Patriots and SF beats the Giants we'll get a brother vs. brother showdown in the Super Bowl, a rematch of the Thanksgiving night game that Baltimore won at home.
Should be a fun couple of games. I know I'm looking forward to them.
Monday, January 2, 2012
NFL Week 17 Wrap up and Wild Card Games
Well, unfortunately the 2011 NFL regular season is now over with. I went 9-7 this past weekend, which was, as I found, the most difficult week to predict anything, with all the starters sitting and the unpredictable benching of top tier talent, i.e, Stevie Johnson, Santonio Holmes, and I know there was another one I'm forgetting about, it made getting these picks right rather tough. So 9-7, while it isn't great, and while it did move my record to a pretty impressive 168-88 season mark, I missed my season goal of a .750 winning percentage, as my record was only .656.
Anyway, for a first time actually writing my picks down on a weekly basis, I'm happy with the results. I'd always felt I was pretty good at grasping the landscape of the NFL and making pretty good picks on a weekly basis, so this was nice to know it all wasn't in my mind. What I like the most about this is how I know my record and I checked briefly around with how the experts finished and I haven't seen one that had a better record than my own, so who knows, maybe someone out there has been reading along and wants to hire me for next season- Hint, hint..But seriously, it's been fun and I look forward to the playoffs.
For most fans, well, for those like myself, who has just finished watching their team play their last team of the season, well, there's always next year. As a die hard Buffalo Bills fan, those words are etched as some oh, so familiar words. But the NFL still goes on, and the teams that deserved the playoffs, with a few exceptions as there always is, made the playoffs.
Green Bay, San Francisco, New England and Baltimore finished as the top two seeds in their respective conferences and will get a much needed bye this weekend. As long as Green Bay and New England are alive in the playoffs they'll play at home, the reward for having the #1 seed.
The Wild Card Games
Saturday's Games
Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans
While I don't feel the Texans will make it past the second round, which is a disappointment, as they are the team I'll be pulling for. But for a first time ever playoff berth, riding a 3rd string rookie QB and the Andre Johnson injury can spring up again at anytime, it's tough to see them getting by the NE'S or Baltimore's of this world. But who knows, really, once you get here anything can happen. Just look at the Seahawks last year. For this game I think Arian Foster and Ben Tate can hold their own against the respectable Bengals defense and the Texans have been solid themselves defensively, so I would imagine they will double AJ Green all day long and make the Bengals try to win using Simpson and Benson, as I think Gresham will be neutralized by the Houston Linebackers. Houston 24 Cincinnati 14
Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Two of the fun teams to watch got stuck playing each other in the first round. I would have much rather have seen Detroit Vs. NYG and Atlanta take on NO, but that's not the way things fell. This game should be high scoring and let's see if Detroit can hold back on taking the number of penalties they took earlier this year. In week 13 these QB's, (Stafford and Brees) put up almost 800 yards of passing and while I can't expect that again, I do expect an explosive game, mostly through the air. I do like the Lions and will pull for them, as they are in a lot of ways similar to my Bills, being perennial cellar dwellers, I do wish them well. But, when it comes down to having to pick a winner here, for me, it seems rather easy. New Orleans is pretty darn tough at home and Brees has been crazy lately, add in Colston and Graham playing out of their minds, I have to pick the Saints. NO 45 Detroit 31
Sunday's Games
Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
I can see Atlanta winning here, but I won't pick them. Atlanta has been playing great football with Matt Ryan just finishing off a pretty nice year and his top receivers, Jones and White, alongside Gonzalez and Turner make for a formidable test for Big Blue. And while you can't really say for sure what Giants team will show up, I do think Eli knows how to win when it counts and Coughlin should have them ready for a win here at home. NYG 30 Atlanta 24
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos
I love everything that Tim Tebow represents in the NFL, but coming off 3 straight losses and only making it to the playoffs due to a Raiders loss doesn't really exude much conference as they go against a team, that if things would've fell in place for them yesterday could have had home-field advantage for the playoffs and the #1 seed. That said Tebow has done the unthinkable before, I just can't see a scenario where that happens against the mighty Steelers. Pittsburgh should handle the Broncos rather easily here. Pittsburgh 35 Denver 14
So I guess that I'm predicting the second round match-ups will be Houston @ Baltimore and Pittsburgh @ New England in the AFC and NYG @ Green Bay with NO heading to SF in the NFC. But we'll see how things shake out. After all, it is the NFL, where stranger things have happened.
Enjoy the playoffs, and if your team is still alive, good luck.
Anyway, for a first time actually writing my picks down on a weekly basis, I'm happy with the results. I'd always felt I was pretty good at grasping the landscape of the NFL and making pretty good picks on a weekly basis, so this was nice to know it all wasn't in my mind. What I like the most about this is how I know my record and I checked briefly around with how the experts finished and I haven't seen one that had a better record than my own, so who knows, maybe someone out there has been reading along and wants to hire me for next season- Hint, hint..But seriously, it's been fun and I look forward to the playoffs.
For most fans, well, for those like myself, who has just finished watching their team play their last team of the season, well, there's always next year. As a die hard Buffalo Bills fan, those words are etched as some oh, so familiar words. But the NFL still goes on, and the teams that deserved the playoffs, with a few exceptions as there always is, made the playoffs.
Green Bay, San Francisco, New England and Baltimore finished as the top two seeds in their respective conferences and will get a much needed bye this weekend. As long as Green Bay and New England are alive in the playoffs they'll play at home, the reward for having the #1 seed.
The Wild Card Games
Saturday's Games
Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans
While I don't feel the Texans will make it past the second round, which is a disappointment, as they are the team I'll be pulling for. But for a first time ever playoff berth, riding a 3rd string rookie QB and the Andre Johnson injury can spring up again at anytime, it's tough to see them getting by the NE'S or Baltimore's of this world. But who knows, really, once you get here anything can happen. Just look at the Seahawks last year. For this game I think Arian Foster and Ben Tate can hold their own against the respectable Bengals defense and the Texans have been solid themselves defensively, so I would imagine they will double AJ Green all day long and make the Bengals try to win using Simpson and Benson, as I think Gresham will be neutralized by the Houston Linebackers. Houston 24 Cincinnati 14
Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Two of the fun teams to watch got stuck playing each other in the first round. I would have much rather have seen Detroit Vs. NYG and Atlanta take on NO, but that's not the way things fell. This game should be high scoring and let's see if Detroit can hold back on taking the number of penalties they took earlier this year. In week 13 these QB's, (Stafford and Brees) put up almost 800 yards of passing and while I can't expect that again, I do expect an explosive game, mostly through the air. I do like the Lions and will pull for them, as they are in a lot of ways similar to my Bills, being perennial cellar dwellers, I do wish them well. But, when it comes down to having to pick a winner here, for me, it seems rather easy. New Orleans is pretty darn tough at home and Brees has been crazy lately, add in Colston and Graham playing out of their minds, I have to pick the Saints. NO 45 Detroit 31
Sunday's Games
Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
I can see Atlanta winning here, but I won't pick them. Atlanta has been playing great football with Matt Ryan just finishing off a pretty nice year and his top receivers, Jones and White, alongside Gonzalez and Turner make for a formidable test for Big Blue. And while you can't really say for sure what Giants team will show up, I do think Eli knows how to win when it counts and Coughlin should have them ready for a win here at home. NYG 30 Atlanta 24
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos
I love everything that Tim Tebow represents in the NFL, but coming off 3 straight losses and only making it to the playoffs due to a Raiders loss doesn't really exude much conference as they go against a team, that if things would've fell in place for them yesterday could have had home-field advantage for the playoffs and the #1 seed. That said Tebow has done the unthinkable before, I just can't see a scenario where that happens against the mighty Steelers. Pittsburgh should handle the Broncos rather easily here. Pittsburgh 35 Denver 14
So I guess that I'm predicting the second round match-ups will be Houston @ Baltimore and Pittsburgh @ New England in the AFC and NYG @ Green Bay with NO heading to SF in the NFC. But we'll see how things shake out. After all, it is the NFL, where stranger things have happened.
Enjoy the playoffs, and if your team is still alive, good luck.
Saturday, December 31, 2011
NFL Week 17 Game Predictions
In week 16 I went 11-5 on my picks, which brings me to 159-81 for the season. One week of regular season action to go. I'll continue to make picks throughout the playoffs, but this is the last major week for predictions, so hopefully I'll make it count and pull off another 11-5 record or more, would be nice.
This coming week of games are all played on Sunday, January 1st and in so doing marks the first games played in the new year. This can be of psychological significance to some teams, after all, irregardless of being in two separate seasons, I would gather most teams would prefer ending this season on a high note while remaining undefeated in 2012 before the games start in the 2012 season.
The games look pretty rough this week. I've tossed ideas around, tried to get the feel for what teams are or will be doing this weekend and it's tough and quite frankly a crapshoot when all's said and done, thus the Saturday posting. There are so many teams that just simply won't be playing for anything, other than pride that is. Then you'll see some teams who have nothing to play for because they are already in the playoffs and while the possibility of moving up a seed is nice and all, I believe most coaches will prefer to ensure their elite stars and most important starters are rested and healthy going into their playoff games. Yet there are some things still to be played for as well, which I'll touch upon as I go through this weeks picks.
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
The Patriots can clinch home field advantage throughout the playoffs and the #1 seed in the AFC with a win against the injury riddled Bills. The Bills will come out trying to win this game, as many of the players are playing for next year already, in some shape or another. But the Patriots will also be trying to fire on all cylinders. Tom Brady, who was limited in practice all week is said to be ready to go for the game on Sunday. How long it takes the Patriots to build up a big lead, to where they can insert reserves into the lineup is, well, how good or poorly the Bills defense plays. New England 35 Buffalo 20
Dallas cowboys @ New York Giants
This is really the most important game of the week. The winner is division champs, the loser misses the playoffs. Lots of little side-stories here as well. JPP vs Ware, who'll leave with the most sacks. Felix Jones vs. Giants linebackers. Romo, is the hand ready? Eli, can he return to the way he was playing just a few weeks ago? These questions and more will be answered on SNF tomorrow evening. I think the home team comes out on top. NYG 28 Dallas 27
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are fighting for their playoff lives in a win and in scenario. If they lose they may not make it into the playoffs, despite holding down the 6 seed for some time now. The Ravens can clinch the division and the Bye week in the Playoffs. So this should be a real game with starters a full go. I think the Ravens are just a better ball club than the Bengals and should win the contest. Ravens 24 Bengals 20
San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams
If SF wins they secure themselves the first round playoff bye, if they lose they'll have to scoreboard watch for the NO-Carolina score. I don't think they'll have to watch any score, they should handle the lifeless rams rather easily. SF 19 STL 6
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
The Saints can clinch the first round bye with a win and a 49ers loss, so you may see some injured players rest, but I do expect the Panthers to come out and play and make a game of it here, yet I still think Brees will be Brees for however long he's in there and the Saints should come out on top. NO 28 Carolina 21
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
The Jets need to win and they need help to make a bid for the chance to return to the AFC championship game again this year. The odds are against them here, regardless of anything Rex Ryan says. Miami is not playing for anything other than pride here, and I don't think that will be good enough. NYJ 24 Miami 14
San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
The Raiders need to win and get a Denver loss. If it plays out like that, they'll then win the AFC West, if not they'll go home. I think they'll win their game as I think the Chargers have already packed their bags and have begun their offseason a little early. Raiders 28 Chargers 7
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
If Denver wins, they are in. If they lose they can still win the division with an Oakland loss. The Chiefs want to keep Romeo Crennel on as their HC for next season and will play hard for their interim coach. Also, this game marks Kyle Orton's return to Denver since being cut a little over a month ago and being claimed off waivers by KC. I think this will be a close game but at home I think the Broncos get this one done. Denver 24 KC 17
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans
The Texans can't really move, they are locked into that 3rd seed and most likely should rest their starters for this game. That said I've heard that they want to go into the playoffs on a high note and will play their starters, Foster and Johnson included, until the win is apparent. The Titans still have a chance at the final wild card if a number of scenarios pan out, but the one they can control is to win this game, something they have to do for any hope of a postseason berth. I think they'll pull it out. Titans 20 Texans 16
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
With the undefeated season ruined a couple weeks ago in KC, the packers will be playing their reserve players, saving the starters for the postseason. Detroit can move into the sixth seed so they'll probably play their starters for about a half of football and see where things stand, as they do have guys that could use the rest before the playoffs start. I think the Lions starters should be able to pull the win out over the Packers backups here, even if it's only for a half. Detroit 17 GB 14
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
The Steelers can win the AFC North and gain a first round bye with a win and a Ravens loss. The Ravens match up is much more difficult than theirs against Cleveland and they could use that extra week to rest Big Ben, so they'll go for it and even with Charlie Batch under center they should be good enough to beat the Browns. Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Despite the possibility of sliding to 6th seed, Atlanta will probably rest their players here, many of them at least. Tampa Bay has been terribly and Rodgers or Snelling should do fine against their porous defense and still pull out the win here. Atlanta 30 Tampa Bay 21
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
While this game isn't meaningful in respect to playoffs or playoff positioning, it does bear a heavy significance. If Indianapolis loses to division rival Jacksonville they'll secure the first overall pick in next April's draft and the right to draft Stanford QB Andrew Luck. That said, If I'm Jacksonville I'm punting this game to avoid having to go from Manning to Luck. They'll never come out and say that, and perhaps they'll actually try. The Colts want to end the season on a winning note, it will be 3 straight if they can do this one, but really, what a price to pay if they do. If the Jags play hard they'll win the game, if they mail it in as I expect the Colts will. Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 9
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Neither team has anything to play for. I'm assuming Pete Carroll would love getting his team to the .500 mark and to see Beast Mode roll some more, but the effort in the last game of the year is tough to predict. I really hate to say who cares here, but I'm just getting that vibe. I'll take Seattle as on paper, at least, they seem to be the better team this week. Seattle 31 Arizona 27
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
It's no secret that the "Dream Team" in Philadelphia did not live up to the hype early on. That said they've been playing great football, especially on defense, lately and I've heard they want to run LeSean McCoy all day long here, in hopes he wins the NFL rushing title, snatching it from first place MJD, to just give the franchise something to hang their hat on at the end of the year. I don't see Washington laying down, but one has to wonder if this team cares at all in week 17, actually that's the big question to ponder for any of these non-playoff teams, as winning does and will hurt your draft status next April. I see the Eagles pulling this out and McCoy taking the Rushing Title as well with a huge game tomorrow. Eagles 31 Redskins 17
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
This should be a bad game and I see a lot of running here. The game should be decided as to which backup running back fares better. So, in essence, it's Chicago's Kahlil Bell vs. Minnesota's Toby Gerhart. While I like Bell this week, I also like Minnesota at home, for Gerhart and for the extra things an athletic QB like Joe Webb can provide. Vikings in a close one. Minnesota 20 Chicago 17
Hope everyone enjoyed the NFL season and found a source of entertainment with my picks each week. I'll be posting throughout the playoffs so keep tuning in. Thanks and have a Happy New Year's.
This coming week of games are all played on Sunday, January 1st and in so doing marks the first games played in the new year. This can be of psychological significance to some teams, after all, irregardless of being in two separate seasons, I would gather most teams would prefer ending this season on a high note while remaining undefeated in 2012 before the games start in the 2012 season.
The games look pretty rough this week. I've tossed ideas around, tried to get the feel for what teams are or will be doing this weekend and it's tough and quite frankly a crapshoot when all's said and done, thus the Saturday posting. There are so many teams that just simply won't be playing for anything, other than pride that is. Then you'll see some teams who have nothing to play for because they are already in the playoffs and while the possibility of moving up a seed is nice and all, I believe most coaches will prefer to ensure their elite stars and most important starters are rested and healthy going into their playoff games. Yet there are some things still to be played for as well, which I'll touch upon as I go through this weeks picks.
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
The Patriots can clinch home field advantage throughout the playoffs and the #1 seed in the AFC with a win against the injury riddled Bills. The Bills will come out trying to win this game, as many of the players are playing for next year already, in some shape or another. But the Patriots will also be trying to fire on all cylinders. Tom Brady, who was limited in practice all week is said to be ready to go for the game on Sunday. How long it takes the Patriots to build up a big lead, to where they can insert reserves into the lineup is, well, how good or poorly the Bills defense plays. New England 35 Buffalo 20
Dallas cowboys @ New York Giants
This is really the most important game of the week. The winner is division champs, the loser misses the playoffs. Lots of little side-stories here as well. JPP vs Ware, who'll leave with the most sacks. Felix Jones vs. Giants linebackers. Romo, is the hand ready? Eli, can he return to the way he was playing just a few weeks ago? These questions and more will be answered on SNF tomorrow evening. I think the home team comes out on top. NYG 28 Dallas 27
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are fighting for their playoff lives in a win and in scenario. If they lose they may not make it into the playoffs, despite holding down the 6 seed for some time now. The Ravens can clinch the division and the Bye week in the Playoffs. So this should be a real game with starters a full go. I think the Ravens are just a better ball club than the Bengals and should win the contest. Ravens 24 Bengals 20
San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams
If SF wins they secure themselves the first round playoff bye, if they lose they'll have to scoreboard watch for the NO-Carolina score. I don't think they'll have to watch any score, they should handle the lifeless rams rather easily. SF 19 STL 6
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
The Saints can clinch the first round bye with a win and a 49ers loss, so you may see some injured players rest, but I do expect the Panthers to come out and play and make a game of it here, yet I still think Brees will be Brees for however long he's in there and the Saints should come out on top. NO 28 Carolina 21
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
The Jets need to win and they need help to make a bid for the chance to return to the AFC championship game again this year. The odds are against them here, regardless of anything Rex Ryan says. Miami is not playing for anything other than pride here, and I don't think that will be good enough. NYJ 24 Miami 14
San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
The Raiders need to win and get a Denver loss. If it plays out like that, they'll then win the AFC West, if not they'll go home. I think they'll win their game as I think the Chargers have already packed their bags and have begun their offseason a little early. Raiders 28 Chargers 7
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
If Denver wins, they are in. If they lose they can still win the division with an Oakland loss. The Chiefs want to keep Romeo Crennel on as their HC for next season and will play hard for their interim coach. Also, this game marks Kyle Orton's return to Denver since being cut a little over a month ago and being claimed off waivers by KC. I think this will be a close game but at home I think the Broncos get this one done. Denver 24 KC 17
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans
The Texans can't really move, they are locked into that 3rd seed and most likely should rest their starters for this game. That said I've heard that they want to go into the playoffs on a high note and will play their starters, Foster and Johnson included, until the win is apparent. The Titans still have a chance at the final wild card if a number of scenarios pan out, but the one they can control is to win this game, something they have to do for any hope of a postseason berth. I think they'll pull it out. Titans 20 Texans 16
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
With the undefeated season ruined a couple weeks ago in KC, the packers will be playing their reserve players, saving the starters for the postseason. Detroit can move into the sixth seed so they'll probably play their starters for about a half of football and see where things stand, as they do have guys that could use the rest before the playoffs start. I think the Lions starters should be able to pull the win out over the Packers backups here, even if it's only for a half. Detroit 17 GB 14
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
The Steelers can win the AFC North and gain a first round bye with a win and a Ravens loss. The Ravens match up is much more difficult than theirs against Cleveland and they could use that extra week to rest Big Ben, so they'll go for it and even with Charlie Batch under center they should be good enough to beat the Browns. Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Despite the possibility of sliding to 6th seed, Atlanta will probably rest their players here, many of them at least. Tampa Bay has been terribly and Rodgers or Snelling should do fine against their porous defense and still pull out the win here. Atlanta 30 Tampa Bay 21
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
While this game isn't meaningful in respect to playoffs or playoff positioning, it does bear a heavy significance. If Indianapolis loses to division rival Jacksonville they'll secure the first overall pick in next April's draft and the right to draft Stanford QB Andrew Luck. That said, If I'm Jacksonville I'm punting this game to avoid having to go from Manning to Luck. They'll never come out and say that, and perhaps they'll actually try. The Colts want to end the season on a winning note, it will be 3 straight if they can do this one, but really, what a price to pay if they do. If the Jags play hard they'll win the game, if they mail it in as I expect the Colts will. Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 9
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Neither team has anything to play for. I'm assuming Pete Carroll would love getting his team to the .500 mark and to see Beast Mode roll some more, but the effort in the last game of the year is tough to predict. I really hate to say who cares here, but I'm just getting that vibe. I'll take Seattle as on paper, at least, they seem to be the better team this week. Seattle 31 Arizona 27
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
It's no secret that the "Dream Team" in Philadelphia did not live up to the hype early on. That said they've been playing great football, especially on defense, lately and I've heard they want to run LeSean McCoy all day long here, in hopes he wins the NFL rushing title, snatching it from first place MJD, to just give the franchise something to hang their hat on at the end of the year. I don't see Washington laying down, but one has to wonder if this team cares at all in week 17, actually that's the big question to ponder for any of these non-playoff teams, as winning does and will hurt your draft status next April. I see the Eagles pulling this out and McCoy taking the Rushing Title as well with a huge game tomorrow. Eagles 31 Redskins 17
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
This should be a bad game and I see a lot of running here. The game should be decided as to which backup running back fares better. So, in essence, it's Chicago's Kahlil Bell vs. Minnesota's Toby Gerhart. While I like Bell this week, I also like Minnesota at home, for Gerhart and for the extra things an athletic QB like Joe Webb can provide. Vikings in a close one. Minnesota 20 Chicago 17
Hope everyone enjoyed the NFL season and found a source of entertainment with my picks each week. I'll be posting throughout the playoffs so keep tuning in. Thanks and have a Happy New Year's.
Wednesday, December 28, 2011
Fantasy League Championship Results
Well, I didn't surpass that 50 win total, stuck firm to that mark by losing my prediction for the Fantasy League Superbowl. It was a game that saw, as predicted, a ton of points scored, and solidified the fact that the best two teams duked it out for the 2011 title.
The streak has ended. No, not Repeal Obama's streak of losing to the eventual Super Bowl champ, but Blood & Thunder's previous 0-3 in title games.
Blood & Thunder outscored Repeal Obama 160-133 in the big game. He got great production from Matthew Stafford, Maurice Jones-Drew, Arian Foster, Reggie Bush and David Akers, while getting solid efforts by Jimmy Graham, Miles Austin, Josh Freeman, Stevie Johnson and the Cincinnati Defense.
What went wrong for Repeal Obama?
LaGarrette Blount's 1 fantasy point hurt bad, as did a basic no-show from Santana Moss. This, in combination with solid, yet below expected, performances from Matt Ryan, Phil Rivers, Mike Wallace and SF defense, really put a damper on the huge games put in by Jordy Nelson, Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith.
Validation. That seems to be the chant in the Blood & Thunder locker room, as this victory cements this run of 4 straight super bowls with a Win. One win and all the losses are put into perspective.
Although the title game just concluded, 11 GM's are already thinking ahead to 2012, scouring over keeper possibilities and just simply looking forward to another year of Fantasy Football. As for the 12th team, well, he's just going to bask in this victory for a little longer before thinking of next year.
Thanks for following. Hope you all have a great New Years and start to 2012 and I'll see you all next August-September for the start of the 2012 campaign.
The streak has ended. No, not Repeal Obama's streak of losing to the eventual Super Bowl champ, but Blood & Thunder's previous 0-3 in title games.
Blood & Thunder outscored Repeal Obama 160-133 in the big game. He got great production from Matthew Stafford, Maurice Jones-Drew, Arian Foster, Reggie Bush and David Akers, while getting solid efforts by Jimmy Graham, Miles Austin, Josh Freeman, Stevie Johnson and the Cincinnati Defense.
What went wrong for Repeal Obama?
LaGarrette Blount's 1 fantasy point hurt bad, as did a basic no-show from Santana Moss. This, in combination with solid, yet below expected, performances from Matt Ryan, Phil Rivers, Mike Wallace and SF defense, really put a damper on the huge games put in by Jordy Nelson, Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith.
Validation. That seems to be the chant in the Blood & Thunder locker room, as this victory cements this run of 4 straight super bowls with a Win. One win and all the losses are put into perspective.
Although the title game just concluded, 11 GM's are already thinking ahead to 2012, scouring over keeper possibilities and just simply looking forward to another year of Fantasy Football. As for the 12th team, well, he's just going to bask in this victory for a little longer before thinking of next year.
Thanks for following. Hope you all have a great New Years and start to 2012 and I'll see you all next August-September for the start of the 2012 campaign.
Thursday, December 15, 2011
NFL Game Predictions Week 15
I had a pretty good week picking the games last week. I went 13-3 and easily could have gone 12-2, as I flip flopped on the Houston-Cincinnati game for some time before picking the Bengals. This week brings my record for the season up to 139-69, not bad but still have a few more weeks ahead of me.
I missed the Houston, Philadelphia and Arizona wins last week for those of you keeping score at home.
Onto the Week 15 Games
Thursday Night Football
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Atlanta Falcons
Were the 41 points Jacksonville scored last week a fluke or something Jaguar fans can look forward to in the upcoming seasons. I think it was more of a product of Tampa playing that poorly and finally seeing MJD used in the passing attack more. The Jags could be a tricky play here but I'll stick to the home Falcons here. Atlanta 24 Jacksonville 20
Saturday Night Football
Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This week we get a special Saturday night edition of football. It pits the hot/cold Cowboys against the lately lifeless Buccaneers. Well I really can't formulate a scenario for Tampa Pulling this one out. I think Dallas will score at will here. Dallas 35 Tampa 17
Sunday Games
Cincinnati Bengals @ St. Louis Rams
The Rams are awful. The Bengals have a good defense and a highlight reel receiver. Not to mention Benson ran well against the Ravens a few weeks ago, and everyone's been running well vs. the Rams. It shouldn't matter where this game is played. If I were in the Rams PR department I'd be trying to get the Cards to return for this game as well, perhaps their only chance. Cincinnati 21 St. Louis 6
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
The only real storylines in this gamer are the recent firing of Miami's HC and the possibility of ex-Bill JP Losman running the offense for the fins. The Bills are in disarray and I just can't pick em, especially after getting annihilated against them earlier this year. Miami 21 Buffalo 13
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Will this be the week. No. Tennessee 28 Indianapolis 10
Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
The Skins have been playing better as of late and Grossman's been kind of good to boot. But the Giants can score more and therefore they'll win easy. Giants 34 Skins 20
New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings
Saint easily. NO 38 Minnesota 13
Green Bay Packers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Packers are the Packers. KC is well under new management. Romeo takes the HC role and I believe we'll see Orton under center. This one will not be close, even without Jennings for GB. GB 45 KC 20
Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans
Carolina has their hands filled with that Texans Defense. Newton is fun to watch, but so is Arian Foster. Could actually be a pretty good game. Probably the 1:00pm game I'll be watching. Houston 24 Carolina 17
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
Hanie vs a tough Seahawk defense. Beast Mode Prevails. Seattle 23 Chicago 10
Detroit Lions @ Oakland Raiders
Raiders are slipping and the Lions should keep them in slip mode. Look for a concerted effort to get Megatron the ball in this one as he's been pretty invisible the past few weeks. Detroit 31 Oakland 21
NY Jets @ Philadelphia Eagles
If the Eagles show up this game could go either way, however they've only done that a couple times this year. The Jets are not an offensive powerhouse by any stretch of the imagination either though, so this could be a game. That said I'll take the jets. NY 27 Philadelphia 20
Cleveland Browns @ Arizona Cardinals
This is the stinker game most won't see. Arizona 16 Cleveland 6
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Will Tebow Time Strike again. It would be nice to see, but I just don't see them being in position to win this one late. NE 28 Denver 13
Sunday Night Football
Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers
Could be a good game to watch. The Chargers are awesome in December and the Ravens can be had if the stars align for the bolt. I like this as a game to watch and I'm hoping it isn't decided until late in the 4th. I want the Chargers to win but I think the Ravens will come out on top. Baltimore 35 San Diego 31
Monday Night Football
Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Francisco 49'ers
Finally a game worth watching on MNF. If Big Ben plays, which I think he will, it should be a great game to watch and see how Bruce Arians attacks the SF linebackers and secondary. I have to believe they won't run all that much and Patrick Willis sounds like he's back this week, which is all the more reason to stay away from the ground. The niners aren't very good offensively yet, but can get into field goal range almost consistently. I think the difference between getting FG's over TD's will bite them as it did last week. Pittsburgh 26 SF 22
Enjoy the week of Football.
I missed the Houston, Philadelphia and Arizona wins last week for those of you keeping score at home.
Onto the Week 15 Games
Thursday Night Football
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Atlanta Falcons
Were the 41 points Jacksonville scored last week a fluke or something Jaguar fans can look forward to in the upcoming seasons. I think it was more of a product of Tampa playing that poorly and finally seeing MJD used in the passing attack more. The Jags could be a tricky play here but I'll stick to the home Falcons here. Atlanta 24 Jacksonville 20
Saturday Night Football
Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This week we get a special Saturday night edition of football. It pits the hot/cold Cowboys against the lately lifeless Buccaneers. Well I really can't formulate a scenario for Tampa Pulling this one out. I think Dallas will score at will here. Dallas 35 Tampa 17
Sunday Games
Cincinnati Bengals @ St. Louis Rams
The Rams are awful. The Bengals have a good defense and a highlight reel receiver. Not to mention Benson ran well against the Ravens a few weeks ago, and everyone's been running well vs. the Rams. It shouldn't matter where this game is played. If I were in the Rams PR department I'd be trying to get the Cards to return for this game as well, perhaps their only chance. Cincinnati 21 St. Louis 6
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
The only real storylines in this gamer are the recent firing of Miami's HC and the possibility of ex-Bill JP Losman running the offense for the fins. The Bills are in disarray and I just can't pick em, especially after getting annihilated against them earlier this year. Miami 21 Buffalo 13
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Will this be the week. No. Tennessee 28 Indianapolis 10
Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
The Skins have been playing better as of late and Grossman's been kind of good to boot. But the Giants can score more and therefore they'll win easy. Giants 34 Skins 20
New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings
Saint easily. NO 38 Minnesota 13
Green Bay Packers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Packers are the Packers. KC is well under new management. Romeo takes the HC role and I believe we'll see Orton under center. This one will not be close, even without Jennings for GB. GB 45 KC 20
Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans
Carolina has their hands filled with that Texans Defense. Newton is fun to watch, but so is Arian Foster. Could actually be a pretty good game. Probably the 1:00pm game I'll be watching. Houston 24 Carolina 17
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
Hanie vs a tough Seahawk defense. Beast Mode Prevails. Seattle 23 Chicago 10
Detroit Lions @ Oakland Raiders
Raiders are slipping and the Lions should keep them in slip mode. Look for a concerted effort to get Megatron the ball in this one as he's been pretty invisible the past few weeks. Detroit 31 Oakland 21
NY Jets @ Philadelphia Eagles
If the Eagles show up this game could go either way, however they've only done that a couple times this year. The Jets are not an offensive powerhouse by any stretch of the imagination either though, so this could be a game. That said I'll take the jets. NY 27 Philadelphia 20
Cleveland Browns @ Arizona Cardinals
This is the stinker game most won't see. Arizona 16 Cleveland 6
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Will Tebow Time Strike again. It would be nice to see, but I just don't see them being in position to win this one late. NE 28 Denver 13
Sunday Night Football
Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers
Could be a good game to watch. The Chargers are awesome in December and the Ravens can be had if the stars align for the bolt. I like this as a game to watch and I'm hoping it isn't decided until late in the 4th. I want the Chargers to win but I think the Ravens will come out on top. Baltimore 35 San Diego 31
Monday Night Football
Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Francisco 49'ers
Finally a game worth watching on MNF. If Big Ben plays, which I think he will, it should be a great game to watch and see how Bruce Arians attacks the SF linebackers and secondary. I have to believe they won't run all that much and Patrick Willis sounds like he's back this week, which is all the more reason to stay away from the ground. The niners aren't very good offensively yet, but can get into field goal range almost consistently. I think the difference between getting FG's over TD's will bite them as it did last week. Pittsburgh 26 SF 22
Enjoy the week of Football.
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Fantasy Football League Week 13
Well I think I'm just going to forget about last weeks picks. I went 2-4 which is easily my worst week of picking for the year. My yearly record is still pretty good at 43-18-2 but I was hoping to hit 50 wins, which was a secret goal of mine this year. Well, looks like I'll have to extend the tally into the playoffs now if I even have a chance at that mark.
Anyhow, I'm not going to recap specifically the 4 losses. I will however make mention that I was shocked at the 165 Clean Slate dropped on Cinderella Story. I saw the score before the Patriot game and thought the mockery would continue, where Cinderella laces up old Donavan McNabb with starting QB's sitting on the waiver wire. But despite the amazing game NE-PHI was for Cinderella, the glass slipper is lost and will not be found again this year. Clean Slate is alive in the playoff picture, which is:
1. Blood and Thunder secured a first found playoff bye with his win over DreamKiller. He keeps the #1 seed with a win or a Repeal Obama loss. If he loses and RO wins then it'll come down to the tiebreaker, which RO will need to make up the 37 points separating the two teams.
2. Repeal Obama's win makes him, in all likelihood, a lock for a first round bye. I already mentioned how he can secure the #1 seed above, but he can lose the bye as well. If he happens to lose and Mission:Repeat wins and wins by more than 42 points than RO scores he'll lock up the bye. While not likely we've seen many routs this year, so who knows.
3. Mission:Repeat keeps the #3 seed and has the previously mentioned shot at a bye with a win. If he loses then playoff positioning depends on a number of things. First, if 6Wide wins he'll get #3 seed and then M:R would either get #4 or #5 seed, depending on Thug Life. If Thug wins then it'll come down to pts scored, which at present M:R only has a 1pt lead over Thug.
4. 6Wide Locks up the #4 seed with a win and as mentioned can still move back into the #3 seed. If 6 Wide Loses he can move down depending on Thug Life winning. Actually he can slide all the way to the #6 seed if he loses and both Thug Life and Clean Slate win.
5. Thug Life. He's sitting here at the #5 seed and can finish at a number of seed positions. As mentioned he can move into the #3 or #4 seeds but he can also be eliminated as well. If thug life loses to Manning Vs. Food he then needs a Clean Slate loss or he's eliminated.
6. Clean Slate. He's in if he wins. If he loses he needs some help from Thug Life. The only way he makes it in with a loss is if Thug beat MVF, in which case would clinch Clean Slate in the #6 Seed.
Manning Vs. Food will make the playoffs with a win against Thug Life. It is the old Win and In scenario and playoff game #2. Last week was his first playoff match that he happened to beat the F Philly squad, sending them packing. He cannot make the playoffs with a loss, but a win, coupled with a Clean Slate loss would give him the #5 seed and then allowing #6 to be filled by Thug Life, who would literally back into the playoffs if this scenario occurs, which I think it will.
Cinderella Story, Dream Killer, Iron Pigs and 7 QB's deep don't even have the spoiler play to look forward to, as Cinderella plays DK and IP plays 7QB's in what amounts to playing for pride and pride alone.
F Philly though, while out of the playoff mix can affect the playoffs with a win over Mission:Repeat, so his game this week at least offers him a but of that spoiler play.
As for this weeks games themselves:
Cinderella Story Vs. Dream Killer
Dream killer is on fumes and I think McNabb will outscore some of his players this week. Now that Vick is officially eliminated he'll have to go with Palko, which isn't very pretty against Chicago, that is, if Orton doesn't get the nod. Cinderella 95 DK 50
Iron Pigs Vs. 7 QB's Deep
Not much to say about his one. It looks like the Pigs have headed to the pen as he started Jay Cutler last week despite Caleb Hanie, the new starter being on the WW. So I'll pick the 7's here. 7QB's Deep 111- Iron Pigs 94
F Philly @ Mission:Repeat
McGahee and Rice may be the keys to this game for M:R. If these guys come up small I think F Philly takes the pleasure in spoiling M:R's aspirations of a high seeding. But I think both those backs will do fine and see this one as. M:R 106 F Philly 103
Repeal Obama Vs. Clean Slate
The real Cinderella Story this year has been Clean Slate, just trying to get over the AP loss. That one injury really hurt his team as bad as any could hurt a team. He was there, in position to beat B & T when the injury took place two weeks ago. So now he's just clinging onto life support, heading into a game where his opponent has some of the types of match-ups you hope to have in the playoffs. Victor Cruz has been going nuts, and I can't see how he doesn't do the same this week, but if AP doesn't go, well I can't see a possibility he scores more points than RO's top 6, not to mention he has Jordy Nelson and Laurent Robinson in his flex spots. RO 128 Clean Slate 100
6Wide Vs. Blood & Thunder
A really good match up on paper. Some high quality in-game matches for both teams. This one will surely come down to the MNF game where I see B & T needing about 24 points from MJD in that one, not impossible but to be realistic, it's a pretty lofty score to need here. 6Wide 132 B& T 129
Thug Life Vs. Manning Vs. Food
This is the main event. As big a week 13 game as you can get. For this reason I'd like to go through each of these teams rosters:
AT QB:
Thug life goes with Big Ben @home for Cincinnati & VY @ Seattle Potential points 30
MVF goes with ELI @ home for GB and Drew Brees @ home for Detroit. Potential Points 40
AT WR:
Thug life goes with Lloyd vs. SF, Boldin vs. Cleveland and Holmes Vs. Washington. Potential Points 30
MVF goes with Simpson vs. Pitt, Garcon Vs. NE and Meachem Vs. Detroit. Potential Points 15
AT RB:
Thug Life goes with a very questionable LeSean McCoy Vs. a very difficult Seattle run defense and Michael Turner vs. a pretty solid Texans defense. Potential Points 36
MVF goes with Marshawn Lynch vs. a Philly run defense that gives up RB points to RB1's and Johnny White vs. Titans. Possible Points 17
At TE:
Thug Life goes with Vernon Davis vs. STL Possible Points 13
MVF goes with Tony Gonzalez vs. Houston Possible Points 13
AT FLEX SPOTS:
Thug Life goes with W/T Denarius Moore vs. Miami, who is not listed here as questionable but I have heard from good sources that his being inactive is a possibility as of 3 hours ago. W/R Cedric Benson vs Pitt. Potential Points 16
MVF goes with W/T Scott Chandler vs. Tennessee and W/R Greg Jennings Vs. NYG's suspect secondary in what should be a high scoring game. Potential Points 26
AT K and DEF:
Thug Life goes with Gould vs. KC and Giants Defense Vs. GB Possible Total Points 4
MVF goes with Rackers vs. Atlanta and Bears Defense Vs. KC Possible Points 20.
According to this outlook, which I'm sure will change by Sunday:
Thug Life 129
MVF 131
A couple points of advice if either team chooses to listen. Thug Life, if I were you I'd pay the closest of attention on McCoy's status leading up to tomorrow nights game. If he can't go, you need to have a capable backup ready to fill in. Also keep an eye on Moore, as I mentioned there are reports out there that his status is in jeopardy for Sunday. I would probably play Hasselback vs. Buffalo if he's healthy, but then again I'm a jaded Bills fan who thinks our secondary is the worst on the planet. I would also go get a different defense, it'll be -4 if you stick with it, which, if my outline goes right, would cost you the game.
MVF. You can't roll with Simpson, Chandler, White, Meachem and Garcon. I know looking at your recent transactions you don't intend to, but yeah, white can't be used, I do like the Helu and Jones pick ups as they are much better than any of your other options. I'd scour the waiver wire for other options as well, there has to be better options out there. I love Chandler, but he's risky, either boom or bust, but that said I might use him just the same, been missing a TE in our offense for so long, he was one of the highlights this year. Take the recommendations with a grain of salt, if you use them and you lose, just ask RO, I will not be responsible or take the blame-lol
Anyhow, I find this match-up the most intriguing, not just because it's a win and in type of game, but the fact the MVF was on fire early, loses his best 2 players and is still in this thing, pretty impressive. Thug Life has had a great team on paper all year but as many of us know from our own rosters, variables and underperformance just sucks.
So, I think the Playoffs will shake out like this:
1. Blood & Thunder
2. Repeal Obama
3. Mission: Repeat vs. 6. Thug Life
4. 6-Wide Vs. 5. Manning Vs. Food
Enjoy the week of football
Anyhow, I'm not going to recap specifically the 4 losses. I will however make mention that I was shocked at the 165 Clean Slate dropped on Cinderella Story. I saw the score before the Patriot game and thought the mockery would continue, where Cinderella laces up old Donavan McNabb with starting QB's sitting on the waiver wire. But despite the amazing game NE-PHI was for Cinderella, the glass slipper is lost and will not be found again this year. Clean Slate is alive in the playoff picture, which is:
1. Blood and Thunder secured a first found playoff bye with his win over DreamKiller. He keeps the #1 seed with a win or a Repeal Obama loss. If he loses and RO wins then it'll come down to the tiebreaker, which RO will need to make up the 37 points separating the two teams.
2. Repeal Obama's win makes him, in all likelihood, a lock for a first round bye. I already mentioned how he can secure the #1 seed above, but he can lose the bye as well. If he happens to lose and Mission:Repeat wins and wins by more than 42 points than RO scores he'll lock up the bye. While not likely we've seen many routs this year, so who knows.
3. Mission:Repeat keeps the #3 seed and has the previously mentioned shot at a bye with a win. If he loses then playoff positioning depends on a number of things. First, if 6Wide wins he'll get #3 seed and then M:R would either get #4 or #5 seed, depending on Thug Life. If Thug wins then it'll come down to pts scored, which at present M:R only has a 1pt lead over Thug.
4. 6Wide Locks up the #4 seed with a win and as mentioned can still move back into the #3 seed. If 6 Wide Loses he can move down depending on Thug Life winning. Actually he can slide all the way to the #6 seed if he loses and both Thug Life and Clean Slate win.
5. Thug Life. He's sitting here at the #5 seed and can finish at a number of seed positions. As mentioned he can move into the #3 or #4 seeds but he can also be eliminated as well. If thug life loses to Manning Vs. Food he then needs a Clean Slate loss or he's eliminated.
6. Clean Slate. He's in if he wins. If he loses he needs some help from Thug Life. The only way he makes it in with a loss is if Thug beat MVF, in which case would clinch Clean Slate in the #6 Seed.
Manning Vs. Food will make the playoffs with a win against Thug Life. It is the old Win and In scenario and playoff game #2. Last week was his first playoff match that he happened to beat the F Philly squad, sending them packing. He cannot make the playoffs with a loss, but a win, coupled with a Clean Slate loss would give him the #5 seed and then allowing #6 to be filled by Thug Life, who would literally back into the playoffs if this scenario occurs, which I think it will.
Cinderella Story, Dream Killer, Iron Pigs and 7 QB's deep don't even have the spoiler play to look forward to, as Cinderella plays DK and IP plays 7QB's in what amounts to playing for pride and pride alone.
F Philly though, while out of the playoff mix can affect the playoffs with a win over Mission:Repeat, so his game this week at least offers him a but of that spoiler play.
As for this weeks games themselves:
Cinderella Story Vs. Dream Killer
Dream killer is on fumes and I think McNabb will outscore some of his players this week. Now that Vick is officially eliminated he'll have to go with Palko, which isn't very pretty against Chicago, that is, if Orton doesn't get the nod. Cinderella 95 DK 50
Iron Pigs Vs. 7 QB's Deep
Not much to say about his one. It looks like the Pigs have headed to the pen as he started Jay Cutler last week despite Caleb Hanie, the new starter being on the WW. So I'll pick the 7's here. 7QB's Deep 111- Iron Pigs 94
F Philly @ Mission:Repeat
McGahee and Rice may be the keys to this game for M:R. If these guys come up small I think F Philly takes the pleasure in spoiling M:R's aspirations of a high seeding. But I think both those backs will do fine and see this one as. M:R 106 F Philly 103
Repeal Obama Vs. Clean Slate
The real Cinderella Story this year has been Clean Slate, just trying to get over the AP loss. That one injury really hurt his team as bad as any could hurt a team. He was there, in position to beat B & T when the injury took place two weeks ago. So now he's just clinging onto life support, heading into a game where his opponent has some of the types of match-ups you hope to have in the playoffs. Victor Cruz has been going nuts, and I can't see how he doesn't do the same this week, but if AP doesn't go, well I can't see a possibility he scores more points than RO's top 6, not to mention he has Jordy Nelson and Laurent Robinson in his flex spots. RO 128 Clean Slate 100
6Wide Vs. Blood & Thunder
A really good match up on paper. Some high quality in-game matches for both teams. This one will surely come down to the MNF game where I see B & T needing about 24 points from MJD in that one, not impossible but to be realistic, it's a pretty lofty score to need here. 6Wide 132 B& T 129
Thug Life Vs. Manning Vs. Food
This is the main event. As big a week 13 game as you can get. For this reason I'd like to go through each of these teams rosters:
AT QB:
Thug life goes with Big Ben @home for Cincinnati & VY @ Seattle Potential points 30
MVF goes with ELI @ home for GB and Drew Brees @ home for Detroit. Potential Points 40
AT WR:
Thug life goes with Lloyd vs. SF, Boldin vs. Cleveland and Holmes Vs. Washington. Potential Points 30
MVF goes with Simpson vs. Pitt, Garcon Vs. NE and Meachem Vs. Detroit. Potential Points 15
AT RB:
Thug Life goes with a very questionable LeSean McCoy Vs. a very difficult Seattle run defense and Michael Turner vs. a pretty solid Texans defense. Potential Points 36
MVF goes with Marshawn Lynch vs. a Philly run defense that gives up RB points to RB1's and Johnny White vs. Titans. Possible Points 17
At TE:
Thug Life goes with Vernon Davis vs. STL Possible Points 13
MVF goes with Tony Gonzalez vs. Houston Possible Points 13
AT FLEX SPOTS:
Thug Life goes with W/T Denarius Moore vs. Miami, who is not listed here as questionable but I have heard from good sources that his being inactive is a possibility as of 3 hours ago. W/R Cedric Benson vs Pitt. Potential Points 16
MVF goes with W/T Scott Chandler vs. Tennessee and W/R Greg Jennings Vs. NYG's suspect secondary in what should be a high scoring game. Potential Points 26
AT K and DEF:
Thug Life goes with Gould vs. KC and Giants Defense Vs. GB Possible Total Points 4
MVF goes with Rackers vs. Atlanta and Bears Defense Vs. KC Possible Points 20.
According to this outlook, which I'm sure will change by Sunday:
Thug Life 129
MVF 131
A couple points of advice if either team chooses to listen. Thug Life, if I were you I'd pay the closest of attention on McCoy's status leading up to tomorrow nights game. If he can't go, you need to have a capable backup ready to fill in. Also keep an eye on Moore, as I mentioned there are reports out there that his status is in jeopardy for Sunday. I would probably play Hasselback vs. Buffalo if he's healthy, but then again I'm a jaded Bills fan who thinks our secondary is the worst on the planet. I would also go get a different defense, it'll be -4 if you stick with it, which, if my outline goes right, would cost you the game.
MVF. You can't roll with Simpson, Chandler, White, Meachem and Garcon. I know looking at your recent transactions you don't intend to, but yeah, white can't be used, I do like the Helu and Jones pick ups as they are much better than any of your other options. I'd scour the waiver wire for other options as well, there has to be better options out there. I love Chandler, but he's risky, either boom or bust, but that said I might use him just the same, been missing a TE in our offense for so long, he was one of the highlights this year. Take the recommendations with a grain of salt, if you use them and you lose, just ask RO, I will not be responsible or take the blame-lol
Anyhow, I find this match-up the most intriguing, not just because it's a win and in type of game, but the fact the MVF was on fire early, loses his best 2 players and is still in this thing, pretty impressive. Thug Life has had a great team on paper all year but as many of us know from our own rosters, variables and underperformance just sucks.
So, I think the Playoffs will shake out like this:
1. Blood & Thunder
2. Repeal Obama
3. Mission: Repeat vs. 6. Thug Life
4. 6-Wide Vs. 5. Manning Vs. Food
Enjoy the week of football
NFL Week 13 Game Predictions
With each week I continually am reminded how close the teams in the NFL are matched. This makes picking accurately rather difficult. I did go 11-5, including the exact score in the Viking-Falcon game last week which is pretty good about 80%, which of course improved my yearly pick record, advancing it to 117-59, which I thought brought me back up and over the .750 marker. Yet I just realized that my math was off and I'm still a few good weeks away. Anyhow, the five losses last week:
I was probably one of the only people insane enough to actually believe that Detroit would beat the undefeated Packers, but I made that call and the loss was all but sealed when Suh got himself ejected.
Arizona-St.Louis was one of those toss up, close type of games. Really thought the Rams would pull it off, but Beanie Wells' 228 rushing performance and Pat Peterson's RTD sealed this one for the Cards.
Titans-Buccaneers game kind of hit me sideways. I really thought Freeman would build off the game he had in GB the week before, but nope, didn't happen, instead Chris Johnson had his second quality game in 3 weeks.
Washington-Seattle, well I don't believe in the Skins and I thought Seattle was showing signs of life with Lynch running hard, and they had a strong Defense, or so I thought.
I have to hand it for 15, he's getting it done, and reminding me why I never missed a Gators game while he was under center. Pretty surprised this Read Option Offense was able to outscore the Chargers. I know they are having their issues, but Von Miller for DROY anyone?
Onto Week 13:
Thursday Night Football
Philadelphia Eagles @ Seattle Seahawks
The Eagles will be without Mike Vick again this week as the short week didn't offer enough reps in practice. So VY will take the reigns again and he did actually look decent and then really good at times last week. Who knows what to think about Seattle. I can see them shutting the doors on the Eagles in this one at home, but I also can see Philly running amok. Eagles 30 Seahawks 20
Sunday Games
New York Jets @ Washington Redskins
I know the Jets pulled off a big win last week, but Sanchez was awful. And I say this despite his 4 TD's. He was the sole reason the Bills were even in a position to pull this one out. That said I'm not buying into anything being sold from Washington these days, especially when it comes to their football squad. Jets 21 Redskins 14
Kansas City Chiefs @ Chicago Bears
Palko or Orton vs. Hanie. NOT a pretty offensive matchup, and that's being kind. We know Chicago's defense has been pretty solid to elite all year and KC has also shown flashes of having a very good defense as well, most recently last week limiting the Steelers to 13 points. So I look for the team with the best Defense to win here, and at the moment I think this belongs to Chicago. Bears 13 Chiefs 9
Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills
If Sunday is anything like today there could be some snow for the game, which really helps the Titans here. The Bills are decimated on both sides of the ball with Injuries. Yet, that said, they played a pretty good Jets Defense last week and looked good doing their thing. They've been strong in all but one of their home games this year, and despite a blackout looming locally I think they'll perform valiantly at home again. Bills 31 Titans 28 on a last second or OT FG
Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins
The Miami feel good story came to an end in the last seconds of their Thanksgiving Day game against Dallas. While I don't think Oakland is Dallas, I do think they are much better than those teams the Dolphins beat the several weeks prior to last Thursday. Raiders 20 Dolphins 7
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
This was a close game earlier in the year. This was the game that Cincinnati came out on fire, a fire that would die down just as quickly when AJ Green went down on his TD catch. Yet the game stayed pretty close. Without Joseph at CB though I think Big Ben should attack the Bengal secondary and have a big game here, giving the Steelers another victory. Steelers 24 Bengals 14
Atlanta Falcons @ Houston Texans
I want to pick the Texans here, as they've been playing inspired defense and dishing out an amazing running game each week. These things should continue, but they always had a few plays each game where Schaub would sling the rock, moving the chains and adding that extra dimension. They seemed confident last week when Matt Leinart got the gig but he went down too, so now, TJ Yates, a rookie, will take the reins. I think this glaring weakness will be enough for the Texans to fall to the up-and-coming Falcons. Falcons 24 Texans 21
Denver Broncos @ Minnesota Vikings
AP or no AP. It doesn't seem to matter, seeing Denver has 15 lining up for them. Denver wins another ugly yet effective one. Broncos 23 Minnesota 17
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I think this will be a game that Tampa offers a heavy dose of LeGarrette Blount. Hopefully they'll get some effective passing from Freeman. Newton's been a bit down lately in his performance, but he's got all the talent in the world and an elite WR in Smith, so this one is really arguable in either case. Buccaneers 28 Panthers 27
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots
Only five more games Colts fans. Patriots 42 Colts 13
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
I know Colt McCoy had a pretty good game last week but he really doesn't have any wideouts to speak of, and that is what you need to beat the Ravens. Ravens 24 Browns 10
Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants
Will the Packers go undefeated? That's the big question going around these days and rightfully so. They look unbeatable and while the Giants haven't been playing quality ball since they took it to the Patriots in Foxboro, Eli Manning and Victor Cruz have shown they can put the points up each week. GB's defense has been giving points up in large chunks as well. So this game will be as simple as this, Can the giants keep up offensively with the packers. I don't really see this as anything but fantasy. Packers 42 Giants 34
Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals
Sure the Cards look to be getting Kevin Kolb back but I can't pick them. Beanie won't run wild against the boys and I think the Romo-led passing attack will do just that against the terrible Arizona defense. Cowboys 35 Cardinals 14
St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers
I can't see the rams doing it this week, not after they couldn't get it done twice against the Cards. 49ers 17 Rams 6
SNF
Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Should be another fun game to watch. Should see a lot of points scored here. I just see the home field advantage to be the differences maker in this one. Saints 45 Detroit 34
MNF
San Diego Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars just fired their coach. They just sold their team, which seems to be staying put, and they just are horrible offensively. They do have an above average defense and Rivers and company have struggled. They did beat the Ravens though. As much as I try I just can't picture MJD getting 50 carries here, which is what I think it'll take to win on MNF. Chargers 27 Jaguars 20
Enjoy a great week of football.
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Fantasy Football League Week 12 Game Predictions
Week 11 solved a lot of questions and opened the door for a whole bunch more. The final two weeks of the Fantasy regular season should be very interested as nine teams out of 12 are in this thing still.
I went 4-2 yet again last week, bringing my season record up to 41-14-2.
Going to do the post a bit different this week, so bear with me.
After Week 11 victories, Blood & Thunder, Repeal Obama and 6 Wide have clinched playoff berths. Mission:Repeat is a virtual lock to make the playoffs, yet there is a scenario, albeit unlikely, where they fail to get their dancing card.
So we have four teams, for the most part, in already. This leaves two spots up for grabs. Thug Life looks like they'll make it in based on opponents and match-ups, but that said, things will get really dicy for them if they fail to produce a W this weekend. But I'm going to include them as the fifth team, which leaves but 1 space open.
F Philly, Manning Vs Food, Cinderella Story and the current 6th seed, Clean Slate are all fighting for the final playoff slot. And It will come down to Week 13 to settle all the dust here.
A brief rundown of events to come:
Blood & Thunder needs 1 win, either this week against DreamKiller or next week against 6 Wide to secure a first round bye. He'll secure the first place seed by winning both, or winning one and a Repeal Obama loss. If both teams finish with the same record it will come down to points scored, which currently are separated by I believe 12 points.
Repeal Obama doesn't clinch a bye with a win this week, but will make big strides towards that goal with a victory over 7 QB's Deep. If he wins and 6 Wide loses he locks up the 1st round bye. If not it'll come down to his week 13 match against Clean Slate. He'll be watching the scoreboard as well, to see the B & T-6 Wide score, as any 6Wide loss in this scenario also locks him the 2 seed at least. His possibility for the 1 seed was listed above.
6 Wide is in an odd situation having a tie in his record. This tie can help him, which it already has, in regards to the playoff clinching, but it can work against him as he tries to move to a higher seed. There are a few scenarios available to him, but to get into the first seed he needs 2 B & T losses because of that tie. He can move into the second seed with two wins and two losses by Repeal Obama, or two wins and one loss by Repeal Obama, where points will then be the deciding factor, but he's currently more than 100 points behind in that respect. Of course a couple of losses could push him down as well in the playoff seeding. He plays Mission:Repeat this week and Blood & Thunder in Week 13.
Mission: Repeat is in with a win, on the virtue of the teams he would be battling for the playoff spot would be playing each other, thus knocking each other down. If he wins this week, Yahoo may not recognize the clinching but he'll be in. If he loses both games though things get dicy. As he'll be looking at the scoreboard and hoping MVF or F Philly aren't the teams he's vying for a spot with as points could get interesting in such a case. He plays 6 Wide this week which is a tough one for him and he finishes the season off against F Philly in Week 13.
Thug Life will get oh, so closer to locking up a spot with a win over Iron Pigs this week. If needed he has the tough match-up against MVF in week 13. As you can tell from these past few entries a lot will sort itself out over the next two weeks as teams fighting for playoff positioning are battling each other this year. If Thug Life falls both weeks he'll probably be out, yet that's there's still a scenario for a berth if that happens, as if he finishes tied with Clean Slate, and the lowly points total they tote around, he'd win out in virtue of points. But all this can be null if he takes care of business against the Iron Pigs this week.
Clean Slate, despite his current spot in 6th place, can't lose another game this year. This is due to the teams around him and their match-ups, combined with the low point total his team has put up so far. He's scored 1077 points while most teams are in the mid 1200's, meaning he'd have to outscore those teams by 250 points this week or next week, that is if he only won one of the next two weeks, and we know that scenario is next to impossible. This all said though, if he wins his last two weeks, he'll be in. It's really in his own hands. But one loss and he's done. He plays Cinderella Story this week and then Repeal Obama in Week 13, so his prospects don't look good. The only thing that might save him, is a but on the collusion side, but it's still worth mentioning. If RO locks up his bye this week, he could, and extremely unlikely for him to do this, he could punt week 13 if Clean Slate wins this week and is in the win and in scenario next week. Will be interesting, but the fate is in Clean Slates hand. And did I mention that he'll be without AP this week, and the Bills play the Jets.
Manning Vs. Food is in the 7th seed right now. Barely outside looking in. He plays F Philly this week, where the loser is out and the winner is still in contention. MVF plays Thug Life next week so his future is clearly in his own hands. Win both weeks and he's in. Lose once and he's out.
F Philly is in the same boat as MVF. He must beat MVF this week and then beat Mission:Repeat next week. One loss and they're done due to the various match-up scenarios involved here. Although, if tied with Clean Slate for 6th seed, he'd get the nod because of points.
Cinderella Story is in 9th place right now. It's truly remarkable that there is a scenario he makes the playoffs, as he's been starting McNabb each and every week and McNabb hasn't played in over a month. Last week he picked up P. Manning, who probably won't play this year, when there were, albeit terrible options, starters available to pick up. Instead he pulled this win off and is in position to at least have a shot to make the playoffs. Obviously a loss in either week is a killshot. He needs to beat Clean Slate this week and then Dream Killer next week. Then he has to hope Clean Slate beats Repeal Obama in week 13 and that Thug Life loses both weeks with F Philly beating MVF this week and M:R beating F Philly in week 13. If this perfect storm takes place, well then a Cinderella story this indeed would be.
Iron Pigs, Dreamkiller and 7 QB's Deep are obviously solely in the spoiler role right now, as each team has been eliminated for a few weeks now.
How I think this week will pan out.
Blood & Thunder Vs. Dreamkiller
I don't like B & T's team, yet they seem to win in outlandish mannerisms. AP going down, S-Jax held to 3 pts, The Bills players Clean Slate had scoring 1 point for 3 players. Really? Anyhow I can't pick B & T, just can't. DK gets his revenge. 119- 114
Repeal Obama Vs. 7 Qb's Deep
7 QB's have been competitive the past 4-5 weeks and should be again, yet RO should still this one out. But, if Jordy Nelson and Megatron come up low tomorrow, we could have an interesting Sunday to watch. RO 122 7QB's 111
6 Wide Vs. M:R
Have to go six wide 118-117. But, if Shonn Greene fails against the bills I can see it going to M:R. I have Greene rocking out a cool 20 points against Buffalo this week
Clean Slate Vs. Cinderella Story
Too many injuries and guys on teams playing poorly will effectively end Clean Slates playoff aspirations and keep Cinderellas open a bit longer. Cinderella 1 105- Clean Slate 88
F Philly Vs. Manning Vs. Food
This is the match to watch this week. Winner is in business as I see it. any other week I'd take MVF 99 out of 100 times, but the perfect scenario befell F Philly. He has half a roster full of Jets, that's a losing philosophy in and of itself....but not when they happen to be playing the Bills. F Philly 120 MVF 115
Thug Life Vs. Iron Pigs
No cutler for Iron Pigs hurts their chances. I can't see Thug Life losing here. 101-80
So you can figure out how things fit in to the above listed playoff scenarios. Everyone have a happy Thanksgiving. Enjoy the food and the games.
I went 4-2 yet again last week, bringing my season record up to 41-14-2.
Going to do the post a bit different this week, so bear with me.
After Week 11 victories, Blood & Thunder, Repeal Obama and 6 Wide have clinched playoff berths. Mission:Repeat is a virtual lock to make the playoffs, yet there is a scenario, albeit unlikely, where they fail to get their dancing card.
So we have four teams, for the most part, in already. This leaves two spots up for grabs. Thug Life looks like they'll make it in based on opponents and match-ups, but that said, things will get really dicy for them if they fail to produce a W this weekend. But I'm going to include them as the fifth team, which leaves but 1 space open.
F Philly, Manning Vs Food, Cinderella Story and the current 6th seed, Clean Slate are all fighting for the final playoff slot. And It will come down to Week 13 to settle all the dust here.
A brief rundown of events to come:
Blood & Thunder needs 1 win, either this week against DreamKiller or next week against 6 Wide to secure a first round bye. He'll secure the first place seed by winning both, or winning one and a Repeal Obama loss. If both teams finish with the same record it will come down to points scored, which currently are separated by I believe 12 points.
Repeal Obama doesn't clinch a bye with a win this week, but will make big strides towards that goal with a victory over 7 QB's Deep. If he wins and 6 Wide loses he locks up the 1st round bye. If not it'll come down to his week 13 match against Clean Slate. He'll be watching the scoreboard as well, to see the B & T-6 Wide score, as any 6Wide loss in this scenario also locks him the 2 seed at least. His possibility for the 1 seed was listed above.
6 Wide is in an odd situation having a tie in his record. This tie can help him, which it already has, in regards to the playoff clinching, but it can work against him as he tries to move to a higher seed. There are a few scenarios available to him, but to get into the first seed he needs 2 B & T losses because of that tie. He can move into the second seed with two wins and two losses by Repeal Obama, or two wins and one loss by Repeal Obama, where points will then be the deciding factor, but he's currently more than 100 points behind in that respect. Of course a couple of losses could push him down as well in the playoff seeding. He plays Mission:Repeat this week and Blood & Thunder in Week 13.
Mission: Repeat is in with a win, on the virtue of the teams he would be battling for the playoff spot would be playing each other, thus knocking each other down. If he wins this week, Yahoo may not recognize the clinching but he'll be in. If he loses both games though things get dicy. As he'll be looking at the scoreboard and hoping MVF or F Philly aren't the teams he's vying for a spot with as points could get interesting in such a case. He plays 6 Wide this week which is a tough one for him and he finishes the season off against F Philly in Week 13.
Thug Life will get oh, so closer to locking up a spot with a win over Iron Pigs this week. If needed he has the tough match-up against MVF in week 13. As you can tell from these past few entries a lot will sort itself out over the next two weeks as teams fighting for playoff positioning are battling each other this year. If Thug Life falls both weeks he'll probably be out, yet that's there's still a scenario for a berth if that happens, as if he finishes tied with Clean Slate, and the lowly points total they tote around, he'd win out in virtue of points. But all this can be null if he takes care of business against the Iron Pigs this week.
Clean Slate, despite his current spot in 6th place, can't lose another game this year. This is due to the teams around him and their match-ups, combined with the low point total his team has put up so far. He's scored 1077 points while most teams are in the mid 1200's, meaning he'd have to outscore those teams by 250 points this week or next week, that is if he only won one of the next two weeks, and we know that scenario is next to impossible. This all said though, if he wins his last two weeks, he'll be in. It's really in his own hands. But one loss and he's done. He plays Cinderella Story this week and then Repeal Obama in Week 13, so his prospects don't look good. The only thing that might save him, is a but on the collusion side, but it's still worth mentioning. If RO locks up his bye this week, he could, and extremely unlikely for him to do this, he could punt week 13 if Clean Slate wins this week and is in the win and in scenario next week. Will be interesting, but the fate is in Clean Slates hand. And did I mention that he'll be without AP this week, and the Bills play the Jets.
Manning Vs. Food is in the 7th seed right now. Barely outside looking in. He plays F Philly this week, where the loser is out and the winner is still in contention. MVF plays Thug Life next week so his future is clearly in his own hands. Win both weeks and he's in. Lose once and he's out.
F Philly is in the same boat as MVF. He must beat MVF this week and then beat Mission:Repeat next week. One loss and they're done due to the various match-up scenarios involved here. Although, if tied with Clean Slate for 6th seed, he'd get the nod because of points.
Cinderella Story is in 9th place right now. It's truly remarkable that there is a scenario he makes the playoffs, as he's been starting McNabb each and every week and McNabb hasn't played in over a month. Last week he picked up P. Manning, who probably won't play this year, when there were, albeit terrible options, starters available to pick up. Instead he pulled this win off and is in position to at least have a shot to make the playoffs. Obviously a loss in either week is a killshot. He needs to beat Clean Slate this week and then Dream Killer next week. Then he has to hope Clean Slate beats Repeal Obama in week 13 and that Thug Life loses both weeks with F Philly beating MVF this week and M:R beating F Philly in week 13. If this perfect storm takes place, well then a Cinderella story this indeed would be.
Iron Pigs, Dreamkiller and 7 QB's Deep are obviously solely in the spoiler role right now, as each team has been eliminated for a few weeks now.
How I think this week will pan out.
Blood & Thunder Vs. Dreamkiller
I don't like B & T's team, yet they seem to win in outlandish mannerisms. AP going down, S-Jax held to 3 pts, The Bills players Clean Slate had scoring 1 point for 3 players. Really? Anyhow I can't pick B & T, just can't. DK gets his revenge. 119- 114
Repeal Obama Vs. 7 Qb's Deep
7 QB's have been competitive the past 4-5 weeks and should be again, yet RO should still this one out. But, if Jordy Nelson and Megatron come up low tomorrow, we could have an interesting Sunday to watch. RO 122 7QB's 111
6 Wide Vs. M:R
Have to go six wide 118-117. But, if Shonn Greene fails against the bills I can see it going to M:R. I have Greene rocking out a cool 20 points against Buffalo this week
Clean Slate Vs. Cinderella Story
Too many injuries and guys on teams playing poorly will effectively end Clean Slates playoff aspirations and keep Cinderellas open a bit longer. Cinderella 1 105- Clean Slate 88
F Philly Vs. Manning Vs. Food
This is the match to watch this week. Winner is in business as I see it. any other week I'd take MVF 99 out of 100 times, but the perfect scenario befell F Philly. He has half a roster full of Jets, that's a losing philosophy in and of itself....but not when they happen to be playing the Bills. F Philly 120 MVF 115
Thug Life Vs. Iron Pigs
No cutler for Iron Pigs hurts their chances. I can't see Thug Life losing here. 101-80
So you can figure out how things fit in to the above listed playoff scenarios. Everyone have a happy Thanksgiving. Enjoy the food and the games.
NFL Week 12 Game Predictions
Well my picking has been pretty consistent the past few weeks, just barely making it over the .500 hump. This past weekend I went a paltry 9-5, bringing my yearly record up to 106-54, two games under the .750 mark. The 5 games I picked incorrectly last week were, well, for the most part pretty terrible.
I took Buffalo to win 31-30 and they got drubbed all over the joint 35-8. I took the Giants to rout the Eagles 28-6 and Philadelphia wound up winning 17-10. I had St. Louis winning a close one over Seattle, who wound up routing them 24-7.
The other two losses were somewhat toss ups in terms of the score. I actually watched most of these games and am still shocked the Jets lost to the Broncos last Thursday night, but it just shows that Tebow only needs 5 minutes to get the W. Go figure.
Also the Jags looked in control of their game most of the afternoon, but because they have a pretty terrible offense they keep the other team in the game each and every week. Pretty sad, as they do have a really good defense overall.
On to week 12:
Thursday Games
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
The Packers are looking unbeatable. Their HC has virtually admitted this week that they're looking for the perfect season. Stafford looked bad the past couple outings and the game that looked like it would be a great one was starting to look bleak. Well, enter week 11, where Green Bay was in another close one and Detroit came back to life, as QB Matt Stafford threw for 5 TDs and recently re-acquired Kevin Smith brought a running game to the motor city. I see an upset here. A good game with a Stafford-Johnson TD in the final minute winning it. Detroit 35 GB 34
Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys
With Dallas you never know what you're going to get on any given week. Two weeks ago they decimated the Bills in every fashion, last week they were taken to Overtime by the Redskins, a team that a few weeks back was shut out by that same Bills team. Miami has strung 5 impressive games together, a streak that sees them on their current 3 game winning streak. I think the streak ends tomorrow. Dallas 31 Miami 20
San Francisco 49ers @ Baltimore Ravens
This is the hyped up Harbaugh Vs. Harbaugh game. But both teams are pretty good and should be refreshing to see a decent game played on NFL network for once. SF's defense is very strong, probably not a stretch to say league's best. Baltimore has found their passing game in recent weeks. I think the Ravens pull this one out at home. A close one though. Baltimore 20 SF 19
Sunday Games
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
I can't even go into details with this one. The Bills look horrible again. Go Bills, but I can't see this happening at all. NYJ 28 Buffalo 10
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals
Tough divisional match-up. If AJ Green doesn't play it'll be closer, but I still think Cincinnati is the better team. Cincinnati 23 Cleveland 16
Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons
Again, I can't see the Vikings winning here. They've definitely been more competitive since Ponder's taken over the QB position, but without AP this week I don't see it happening in Atlanta. Atlanta 24 Minnesota 14
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Tough divisional game for these two teams. Jacksonville is pretty much out of this conversation but are still trying to play hard each week. On the Houston side we see their star QB on IR today. Matt Leinart gets the gig for the rest of the year and he also gets WR Andre Johnson back for this one. While I don't think Leinart will light the world on fire, I do think he'll be good enough to continue what this team's been doing as of late, running extremely well and timely, efficient passing. Houston 27 Jacksonville 14
Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams
This game went to overtime a few weeks ago, seeing Arizona getting the victory off of rookie CB Patrick Peterson's punt return TD. I think St. Louis was the better team that day and think they'll be the better team this week as well. Only difference being that they'll actually get the victory this time around. St. Louis 15 Arizona 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Tennessee Titans
No clue how to pick this game. TB looks bad almost every week, yet they play great in their loss last week to undefeated GB. Tennessee lost their QB last week, not sure if he'll play or not this week, but I'm just going to take a wild guess that TB will build off of their performance last week and get the win here. TB 21 Tennessee 17
Carolina Panthers @ Indianapolis Colts
This was the game many had circled for Indianapolis' first win of the year. I don't see it that way. Newton looked like a rookie against Detroit and they just got mauled by the Lions. I think we see a stronger overall effort, as the Colts are that bad. Carolina 28 Indianapolis 13
Washington Redskins @ Seattle Seahawks
Washington is another one of those erratic teams that you don't know what you'll get each week. Seattle is not very good. If this game was played in DC I'd pick the Skins, but it's not so I'm taking Seattle in a lopsided game, as the Seahawks are pretty good when playing at home. Seattle 24 Washington 6
Chicago Bears @ Oakland Raiders
The Bears have put together a nice streak of games together. However, the Cutler loss is bad. I think Hanie will be okay for them as they year continues, but Palmer is getting better each week in Oakland and they're at home. Oakland 28 Chicago 21
New England Patriots @ Philadelphia Eagles
I really can't stand the Patriots. But I really dislike Mike Vick. In any case I want the Eagles to win but see the Pats winning rather easily here. NE 35 Philadelphia 23
Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers
I think playing 5 minutes of football on a consistent basis catches up to a team, it has to right? In any case I think the Chargers offense will force Denver to pass the ball, so we'll see. I like the Chargers here at home. San Diego 28 Denver 16
SNF
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Blowout Pittsburgh Style. Pittsburgh 42 KC 3
MNF
New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints
Finally a really good matchup for MNF. I'm looking forward to this game as both offenses have shown that they can move the ball. However both teams have shown their not immune from bouts of the fits. I like the home Saints here in a shoot-out. NO 38 NYG 31
So I hope everyone has a good week of watching football and also would like to wish all my readers A Happy Thanksgiving.
I took Buffalo to win 31-30 and they got drubbed all over the joint 35-8. I took the Giants to rout the Eagles 28-6 and Philadelphia wound up winning 17-10. I had St. Louis winning a close one over Seattle, who wound up routing them 24-7.
The other two losses were somewhat toss ups in terms of the score. I actually watched most of these games and am still shocked the Jets lost to the Broncos last Thursday night, but it just shows that Tebow only needs 5 minutes to get the W. Go figure.
Also the Jags looked in control of their game most of the afternoon, but because they have a pretty terrible offense they keep the other team in the game each and every week. Pretty sad, as they do have a really good defense overall.
On to week 12:
Thursday Games
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
The Packers are looking unbeatable. Their HC has virtually admitted this week that they're looking for the perfect season. Stafford looked bad the past couple outings and the game that looked like it would be a great one was starting to look bleak. Well, enter week 11, where Green Bay was in another close one and Detroit came back to life, as QB Matt Stafford threw for 5 TDs and recently re-acquired Kevin Smith brought a running game to the motor city. I see an upset here. A good game with a Stafford-Johnson TD in the final minute winning it. Detroit 35 GB 34
Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys
With Dallas you never know what you're going to get on any given week. Two weeks ago they decimated the Bills in every fashion, last week they were taken to Overtime by the Redskins, a team that a few weeks back was shut out by that same Bills team. Miami has strung 5 impressive games together, a streak that sees them on their current 3 game winning streak. I think the streak ends tomorrow. Dallas 31 Miami 20
San Francisco 49ers @ Baltimore Ravens
This is the hyped up Harbaugh Vs. Harbaugh game. But both teams are pretty good and should be refreshing to see a decent game played on NFL network for once. SF's defense is very strong, probably not a stretch to say league's best. Baltimore has found their passing game in recent weeks. I think the Ravens pull this one out at home. A close one though. Baltimore 20 SF 19
Sunday Games
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
I can't even go into details with this one. The Bills look horrible again. Go Bills, but I can't see this happening at all. NYJ 28 Buffalo 10
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals
Tough divisional match-up. If AJ Green doesn't play it'll be closer, but I still think Cincinnati is the better team. Cincinnati 23 Cleveland 16
Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons
Again, I can't see the Vikings winning here. They've definitely been more competitive since Ponder's taken over the QB position, but without AP this week I don't see it happening in Atlanta. Atlanta 24 Minnesota 14
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Tough divisional game for these two teams. Jacksonville is pretty much out of this conversation but are still trying to play hard each week. On the Houston side we see their star QB on IR today. Matt Leinart gets the gig for the rest of the year and he also gets WR Andre Johnson back for this one. While I don't think Leinart will light the world on fire, I do think he'll be good enough to continue what this team's been doing as of late, running extremely well and timely, efficient passing. Houston 27 Jacksonville 14
Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams
This game went to overtime a few weeks ago, seeing Arizona getting the victory off of rookie CB Patrick Peterson's punt return TD. I think St. Louis was the better team that day and think they'll be the better team this week as well. Only difference being that they'll actually get the victory this time around. St. Louis 15 Arizona 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Tennessee Titans
No clue how to pick this game. TB looks bad almost every week, yet they play great in their loss last week to undefeated GB. Tennessee lost their QB last week, not sure if he'll play or not this week, but I'm just going to take a wild guess that TB will build off of their performance last week and get the win here. TB 21 Tennessee 17
Carolina Panthers @ Indianapolis Colts
This was the game many had circled for Indianapolis' first win of the year. I don't see it that way. Newton looked like a rookie against Detroit and they just got mauled by the Lions. I think we see a stronger overall effort, as the Colts are that bad. Carolina 28 Indianapolis 13
Washington Redskins @ Seattle Seahawks
Washington is another one of those erratic teams that you don't know what you'll get each week. Seattle is not very good. If this game was played in DC I'd pick the Skins, but it's not so I'm taking Seattle in a lopsided game, as the Seahawks are pretty good when playing at home. Seattle 24 Washington 6
Chicago Bears @ Oakland Raiders
The Bears have put together a nice streak of games together. However, the Cutler loss is bad. I think Hanie will be okay for them as they year continues, but Palmer is getting better each week in Oakland and they're at home. Oakland 28 Chicago 21
New England Patriots @ Philadelphia Eagles
I really can't stand the Patriots. But I really dislike Mike Vick. In any case I want the Eagles to win but see the Pats winning rather easily here. NE 35 Philadelphia 23
Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers
I think playing 5 minutes of football on a consistent basis catches up to a team, it has to right? In any case I think the Chargers offense will force Denver to pass the ball, so we'll see. I like the Chargers here at home. San Diego 28 Denver 16
SNF
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Blowout Pittsburgh Style. Pittsburgh 42 KC 3
MNF
New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints
Finally a really good matchup for MNF. I'm looking forward to this game as both offenses have shown that they can move the ball. However both teams have shown their not immune from bouts of the fits. I like the home Saints here in a shoot-out. NO 38 NYG 31
So I hope everyone has a good week of watching football and also would like to wish all my readers A Happy Thanksgiving.
Thursday, November 17, 2011
Fantasy Football League Week 11 Game Predictions and Week 10 Recap
Well some of the mess was sorted out last week, but there still is 3 weeks left to play and anything can happen. Nothing is set at this point and 8 teams still have a realistic shot at making the playoffs and another team is mathematically still alive yet needs some help. I went 4-2 on my picks last week. This brought my season record to 37-21-2.
The two games I lost last week:
The F Philly comeback was one for the ages. Iron Pigs seemingly had this one in the bag, but then came the Jets Vs. Patriots game and all momentum shifted in favor of F Philly. In the end F Philly kept themselves alive in the postseason hunt and effectively ended the Iron Pigs chances of seeing a playoff game.
Blood & Thunder keeps winning these games he has no business pulling off. Yes, you could say "what to do expect, he played 7QB's Deep," but the 7 Qb's have been playing some good ball the past few weeks and lost a few games earlier in the year that they probably should have one. While B & T did score 128 points, tied for the most this past week, he has his problems, with a underachieving receiving corps and some iffy QB play as of late. The game was close 16 points separating the two teams heading into the Vikings-Packers game on MNF. Late in the third quarter B & T's lead was down to 10 points and B & T Qb Christian Ponder dropped back to pass. The rookie let the ball go and it hit GB legend Charles Woodson square in the gloves. There wasn't anyone in his way the rest of the field. It was a pick six. An easy pick six. Yet, just as Julio Jones hamstring prevented points scored for the 7QB's, Woodson dropped the ball here, literally. That was a 10 point play. Who knows what would have happened after that if that play had actually occurred. Lucky, yes, really lucky, hell yes.
On to Week 11.
Blood & Thunder Vs. Clean Slate
The Slate team has dropped another game and saw his security cushion fall to the wayside. He's now jumbled in the mass of teams fighting for playoff space. Luckily for him B & T's best players are on bye this week. If you take last weeks scoring, that's 45 points off the B & T scorecard. Sure, some crazy play could happen. Reggie Bush could go off again and newly acquired Damian Williams could have a big game, but B & T doesn't look to be in a winning scenario right now. Clean Slate pulls away here. Clean Slate 110 B & T 99
Repeal Obama Vs. Iron Pigs
Too many byes and other problems for the pigs here. Not much analysis to do with this one. RO 105 Pigs 75
7QB's Deep Vs. Cinderella Story
If Cinderella is ever going to find that slipper she lost, it will have to start this week. I mentioned I would never pick 7 QB's again, well I guess I lied. 7 QB's impressed me with his recent play and should win this one out of karma alone. 7 QB's 114 Cinderella Story 94
Mission Repeat Vs. DreamKiller
No dreams being killed here. Perhaps prolonging M:R's agony, as his team is wavering greatly. M:R 109 DK 68
6Wide Vs. Manning Vs. Food
MVF needs to pull off another one to keep pace. He is a deadly team, but without Bradshaw he's just another team. He needs to bide his team, inch into the playoffs and hope Bradshaw is back in time for another run at this thing. 6Wide pulled off a blockbuster deal with DreamKiller and the results were felt instantly, as Tony Romo had a great game and Chris Johnson, with the change of scenery, looks back. I think this continues. 6Wide 107 MVF 105. But, if MVF finds suitable replacements for his bye week holes, another story might be told.
Thuglife Vs. F Philly
Thug life needs a replacement for Big Ben. If he finds someone I think he pulls this one off. He'll actually have a good idea what he needs to do later tonight, as half the F Philly roster plays tonight. I'm assuming Thuglife will make the necessary adjustments and pull this squeaker of a game out. ThugLife 108 F Philly 105
See you for Week 12.
The two games I lost last week:
The F Philly comeback was one for the ages. Iron Pigs seemingly had this one in the bag, but then came the Jets Vs. Patriots game and all momentum shifted in favor of F Philly. In the end F Philly kept themselves alive in the postseason hunt and effectively ended the Iron Pigs chances of seeing a playoff game.
Blood & Thunder keeps winning these games he has no business pulling off. Yes, you could say "what to do expect, he played 7QB's Deep," but the 7 Qb's have been playing some good ball the past few weeks and lost a few games earlier in the year that they probably should have one. While B & T did score 128 points, tied for the most this past week, he has his problems, with a underachieving receiving corps and some iffy QB play as of late. The game was close 16 points separating the two teams heading into the Vikings-Packers game on MNF. Late in the third quarter B & T's lead was down to 10 points and B & T Qb Christian Ponder dropped back to pass. The rookie let the ball go and it hit GB legend Charles Woodson square in the gloves. There wasn't anyone in his way the rest of the field. It was a pick six. An easy pick six. Yet, just as Julio Jones hamstring prevented points scored for the 7QB's, Woodson dropped the ball here, literally. That was a 10 point play. Who knows what would have happened after that if that play had actually occurred. Lucky, yes, really lucky, hell yes.
On to Week 11.
Blood & Thunder Vs. Clean Slate
The Slate team has dropped another game and saw his security cushion fall to the wayside. He's now jumbled in the mass of teams fighting for playoff space. Luckily for him B & T's best players are on bye this week. If you take last weeks scoring, that's 45 points off the B & T scorecard. Sure, some crazy play could happen. Reggie Bush could go off again and newly acquired Damian Williams could have a big game, but B & T doesn't look to be in a winning scenario right now. Clean Slate pulls away here. Clean Slate 110 B & T 99
Repeal Obama Vs. Iron Pigs
Too many byes and other problems for the pigs here. Not much analysis to do with this one. RO 105 Pigs 75
7QB's Deep Vs. Cinderella Story
If Cinderella is ever going to find that slipper she lost, it will have to start this week. I mentioned I would never pick 7 QB's again, well I guess I lied. 7 QB's impressed me with his recent play and should win this one out of karma alone. 7 QB's 114 Cinderella Story 94
Mission Repeat Vs. DreamKiller
No dreams being killed here. Perhaps prolonging M:R's agony, as his team is wavering greatly. M:R 109 DK 68
6Wide Vs. Manning Vs. Food
MVF needs to pull off another one to keep pace. He is a deadly team, but without Bradshaw he's just another team. He needs to bide his team, inch into the playoffs and hope Bradshaw is back in time for another run at this thing. 6Wide pulled off a blockbuster deal with DreamKiller and the results were felt instantly, as Tony Romo had a great game and Chris Johnson, with the change of scenery, looks back. I think this continues. 6Wide 107 MVF 105. But, if MVF finds suitable replacements for his bye week holes, another story might be told.
Thuglife Vs. F Philly
Thug life needs a replacement for Big Ben. If he finds someone I think he pulls this one off. He'll actually have a good idea what he needs to do later tonight, as half the F Philly roster plays tonight. I'm assuming Thuglife will make the necessary adjustments and pull this squeaker of a game out. ThugLife 108 F Philly 105
See you for Week 12.
Saturday, November 5, 2011
Fantasy Football League Week 8 Recap and Week 9 Game Predictions
Last week was not a great week for predicting. I only went 3-3, bringing my season record up to 30-16-2. The games I lost were:
Blood & Thunder controlling his game against Cinderella Story all day long. In this win a flaw in Cinderella's game was evident. Stop the Patriots stop Cinderella. Simple as that.
Mission:Repeat pulled off the upset here, ousting Repeal Obama in fairly convincing fashion.
And the low scoring contest, 82-73, that was 6 Wide's victory over Iron Pigs.
Lots on stake here in Week 9:
Dreamkiller Vs. Thug Life
DK is 1-0 since the name switch, and his players seemingly used that as a rallying cry, pulling off a win last week. They look to continue this momentum, forcing DK's owner to make a tough call. I contacted DK's owner for a comment, which he said, "If we pull this one out we'll be all in for the stretch, if not, so goes the firesale." Thug Life, the other team to change names, hasn't done so well since the switch. Although some really good match-ups, I think DK has momentum on his side. Upset special. DK 114 Thug Life 107
Mission:Repeat Vs. 7 QB's Deep
Things were pretty ugly for 7 QB's Deep last week, posting an abysmally low score of 43 points. To put this in perspective, Blood & Thunder had 1 player 2 weeks ago go for 42. But that said I see this squad rebounding a bit this week. And if M:R looks past 7 QB's then bad things could be in store for him. I'm going to pick this game assuming he won't, and I'm on record saying I won't be picking 7 QB's again this year, after all, How could I? M:R 90 7 QB's 86
Manning Vs. Food Vs. Clean Slate
Tough matchup to call. Both teams can easily make their case and I guess we'll have to see what happens on Sunday. If you're scratching your head thinking how can MVF, and his seemingly weekly high scores go down to the Clean Slate, well Ahmad Bradshaw and his 15-20 points won't be there as well as some other concerns this week. That said I'm picking Clean Slate to win. CS 97 MVF 93
F Philly Vs. 6 Wide
Big match-up for possible playoff positioning here. F Philly does have his NYJ's filled roster playing a fantasy friendly Bills Defense, which most weeks would secure his team the prediction. However, 6 Wide has some very nice match-ups as well. I can see this game tilting back and forth all day long, and I'll go with 6 Wide and a flip of the coin.
6 Wide 119 F Philly 111
Cinderella Story Vs. Iron Pigs
If the Pigs want to stay in this thing they have to win this week. Cinderella Story is reeling and could easily lose this game, just as easily as they can win it. Pigs owner, and big time Steelers fan, is hoping his Steelers can help him defeat the Cinderella Patriots. Iron Pigs 97 Cinderella 95
Repeal Obama Vs. Blood & Thunder
This is the Marquis match-up of the week. First place B & T Vs. 2nd Place Repeal Obama. The margin between 1st and 2nd is 10 fantasy points scored. Neither team has been playing up to their potential. While RO was pure dominance the first 6 weeks, they've certainly lost some steam the past two weeks. B & T has been getting lucky while putting up meager point totals. Both teams have their issues and they've arrived here coming from opposite methods. When looking the rosters over it was a no-brainer to pick RO, but now that DMC won't be playing, which is the exact type of thing that has propelled B & T to wins, it changes perspective. Bye Weeks bite each team as well. For RO Megatron is out. For B & T, Stafford and MJD are out. Lots of storylines here, but in the end RO is a team playing closer to potential than B & T is. The only saving grace for B & T is the forced starts of John Skelton and Reggie Bush, snot-factor personified. I'll go with the odds though. Repeal Obama 110 Blood & Thunder 109
See you in Week 10.
NFL Week 9 Game Predictions
After going 8-5 last week my record for predicting this season is up 79-37. The five losses last week were:
I picked the Saints, just like everyone in the world, outside St. Louis homers, but that's okay. I'm actually glad for the Rams. They put together about as solid of an outing as possible.
The Chiefs upset of the Chargers on MNF caught me a bit off-guard. I didn't want to believe that SD was as bad as people were saying. Wow, that fumble.
The Pittsburgh-NE and Carolina-Minnesota games I had a feeling would be tight. I'm actually happy for both of these outcomes as well.
The Philadelphia rout over the Cowboys was a bit of a shock as well, not that they won, but how they owned that game.
Anyhow, on to Week 9:
Denver @ Oakland
Tebow was terrible against the Lions last week. There were rumblings he may not start this week, but in the end he got the nod. I'm a bit disappointed in his performance so far, as if there was any guy you'd want to see succeed it's Tim. Unfortunately the Black Hole is not the place to get things right. They're mad at the Shut-out, had two weeks to stew it over, and despite DMC not playing I still see a fairly easy win for Oakland here. Oakland 24 Denver 10
New York Giants @ New England
I really hope Eli and big blue can take down the Pats this week but I just don't think they'll be up to the task. Lots of bad vibes this week, and Bradshaw with that foot, just another. NE 34 NYG 27
St. Louis @ Arizona
Who knows who the starting QB's will be in this one. I guess it would be safer to pick the home team here. But I have to go with St. Louis after that convincing win last week. STL 9 Arizona 6
Green Bay @ San Diego
This could be the week GB loses their first one, but with Rivers playing poorly, their RB situation in limbo and lots of mental mistakes going around I just can't pull the trigger on that one. Rodgers is rolling as are the Pack. GB 30 SD 21
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
We are worlds away from that first meeting. The teams have somewhat moved in opposite directions. At home the terrible towel will be in full effect and I see Pittsburgh owning this game all day long. Look for a few turnovers as well. Pittsburgh 24 Baltimore 13
Chicago @ Philadelphia
This should be a fun game to watch. Lots of stars to pay attention to here, Vick, McCoy, Maclin and D-Jax for the Eagles and Cutler, Forte and Peppers for the Bears. I think Philly will pull this high scoring affair out seeing that they're home. Philadelphia 37 Chicago 31
Cincinnati @ Tennessee
The Bengal defense is playing too well and the Titans are virtually one dimensional. It's kind of ugly in Nashville right now. Fans are calling for Ringer over CJ and rightfully so, but still, wow, that's the guy who was lights out for 2 years. What happened? But I guess that's the big question. This team would be terrible without Matt Hasselback and he'll be the reason this is a game. Cincinnati 21 Tennessee 14
Cleveland @ Houston
I will be shocked if Houston doesn't dominate this game from start to finish. Yes, no Andre Johnson for the 5th consecutive week but they move that offense around and can score on anyone. I see Wade's defense doing the job against Colt and the Browns as well, no Hillis again either. Houston 38 Cleveland 20
San Francisco @ Washington
Washington was embarrassed 23-0 in Toronto last week. In fact it was the first time a Mike Shanahan coached team has been shut out. He'll have them ready to play this week. Unfortunately this SF team is just good enough on Offense and crazy good on defense. I think this will be a low scoring game with the SF defense being the deciding factor in this one. SF 17 Washington 13
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
New Orleans won't lose this week. I do hope TB gets their act together though, which i think he will this week. He played pretty well against them last time around and had the bye week to prepare. NO was embarrassed last week and won't fall victim two weeks in a row. The saints in a close one. NO 30 TB 24
Miami @ Kansas City
Two different worlds right now. KC, starting 0-3, is now 4-3. There really isn't anything special about their game either. Miami has given up leads in their last two games and are pretty demoralized at 0-8. That all said I actually see some points scored here and I'm going with the longshot in this one. Miami 20 KC 17
Atlanta @ Indianapolis
The Andrew Luck sweepstakes continue for Indianapolis and Atlanta seems to be coming around. Atlanta 45 Indianapolis 20
Seattle @ Dallas
Motivation. Motivation. Lots of that going around this week. Dallas was humiliated on the national stage last week and will look to inflict some punishment this week. I think they will. Dallas 34 Seattle 14
NY Jets @ Buffalo
Huge game for both teams. If Buffalo wins they'll have a 3 game lead on the Jets and the first H2H tie-breaker. That said, the importance to the Jets is obvious. I think a close game will be in store here with the home team squeaking away a win. Buffalo 21 NYJ 20
Hope everyone enjoys a good weekend of football.
I picked the Saints, just like everyone in the world, outside St. Louis homers, but that's okay. I'm actually glad for the Rams. They put together about as solid of an outing as possible.
The Chiefs upset of the Chargers on MNF caught me a bit off-guard. I didn't want to believe that SD was as bad as people were saying. Wow, that fumble.
The Pittsburgh-NE and Carolina-Minnesota games I had a feeling would be tight. I'm actually happy for both of these outcomes as well.
The Philadelphia rout over the Cowboys was a bit of a shock as well, not that they won, but how they owned that game.
Anyhow, on to Week 9:
Denver @ Oakland
Tebow was terrible against the Lions last week. There were rumblings he may not start this week, but in the end he got the nod. I'm a bit disappointed in his performance so far, as if there was any guy you'd want to see succeed it's Tim. Unfortunately the Black Hole is not the place to get things right. They're mad at the Shut-out, had two weeks to stew it over, and despite DMC not playing I still see a fairly easy win for Oakland here. Oakland 24 Denver 10
New York Giants @ New England
I really hope Eli and big blue can take down the Pats this week but I just don't think they'll be up to the task. Lots of bad vibes this week, and Bradshaw with that foot, just another. NE 34 NYG 27
St. Louis @ Arizona
Who knows who the starting QB's will be in this one. I guess it would be safer to pick the home team here. But I have to go with St. Louis after that convincing win last week. STL 9 Arizona 6
Green Bay @ San Diego
This could be the week GB loses their first one, but with Rivers playing poorly, their RB situation in limbo and lots of mental mistakes going around I just can't pull the trigger on that one. Rodgers is rolling as are the Pack. GB 30 SD 21
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
We are worlds away from that first meeting. The teams have somewhat moved in opposite directions. At home the terrible towel will be in full effect and I see Pittsburgh owning this game all day long. Look for a few turnovers as well. Pittsburgh 24 Baltimore 13
Chicago @ Philadelphia
This should be a fun game to watch. Lots of stars to pay attention to here, Vick, McCoy, Maclin and D-Jax for the Eagles and Cutler, Forte and Peppers for the Bears. I think Philly will pull this high scoring affair out seeing that they're home. Philadelphia 37 Chicago 31
Cincinnati @ Tennessee
The Bengal defense is playing too well and the Titans are virtually one dimensional. It's kind of ugly in Nashville right now. Fans are calling for Ringer over CJ and rightfully so, but still, wow, that's the guy who was lights out for 2 years. What happened? But I guess that's the big question. This team would be terrible without Matt Hasselback and he'll be the reason this is a game. Cincinnati 21 Tennessee 14
Cleveland @ Houston
I will be shocked if Houston doesn't dominate this game from start to finish. Yes, no Andre Johnson for the 5th consecutive week but they move that offense around and can score on anyone. I see Wade's defense doing the job against Colt and the Browns as well, no Hillis again either. Houston 38 Cleveland 20
San Francisco @ Washington
Washington was embarrassed 23-0 in Toronto last week. In fact it was the first time a Mike Shanahan coached team has been shut out. He'll have them ready to play this week. Unfortunately this SF team is just good enough on Offense and crazy good on defense. I think this will be a low scoring game with the SF defense being the deciding factor in this one. SF 17 Washington 13
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
New Orleans won't lose this week. I do hope TB gets their act together though, which i think he will this week. He played pretty well against them last time around and had the bye week to prepare. NO was embarrassed last week and won't fall victim two weeks in a row. The saints in a close one. NO 30 TB 24
Miami @ Kansas City
Two different worlds right now. KC, starting 0-3, is now 4-3. There really isn't anything special about their game either. Miami has given up leads in their last two games and are pretty demoralized at 0-8. That all said I actually see some points scored here and I'm going with the longshot in this one. Miami 20 KC 17
Atlanta @ Indianapolis
The Andrew Luck sweepstakes continue for Indianapolis and Atlanta seems to be coming around. Atlanta 45 Indianapolis 20
Seattle @ Dallas
Motivation. Motivation. Lots of that going around this week. Dallas was humiliated on the national stage last week and will look to inflict some punishment this week. I think they will. Dallas 34 Seattle 14
NY Jets @ Buffalo
Huge game for both teams. If Buffalo wins they'll have a 3 game lead on the Jets and the first H2H tie-breaker. That said, the importance to the Jets is obvious. I think a close game will be in store here with the home team squeaking away a win. Buffalo 21 NYJ 20
Hope everyone enjoys a good weekend of football.
Friday, October 28, 2011
Fantasy Football League Week 7 Recap and Week 8 Predictions
Week 7 was yet another sloppy week of Fantasy Football. The low scoring games continued and that leads to a situation where one player having a monster game could be the difference as you try to outlast the Bye Week Buzzkill.
I went 3-2-1 last week predicting, bringing my season record up to
27-13-2
The first game I lost last week was the unlikely Blood & Thunder over Iron Pigs 116 - 91. It was unlikely as B & T was definitely hurt by poor match-ups and Bye week issues. But like I mentioned in the intro, one big game out of a player gives you hope. Arian Foster, and his 42 fantasy points were the only reason B & T didn't need to bite his nails on MNF.
The other loss came at my shoot-for-the-moon bet, where I took 7 QB's Deep to pull one out.
LGBW suffered yet another tie last week. This time it was against 6 Wide. This seems to have prompted a name change, the second in the league this year. The teams unveiling ceremony comes this weekend as...drum roll... The Dreamkillers take on F Philly. I think the name says it all.
WEEK 8 Predictions
Dreamkillers Vs. F Philly
By having sole possession of the entire NY Jets football team, F Philly is in Bye week hell this week. As DK's "star" RB has the perfect opportunity to wreck Havok vs Indianapolis this week, so does the entire DK team. This will even the Win to Tie Ratio. Dreamkillers 105 F Philly 87
6 Wide Vs. Iron Pigs
Both teams suffering demoralizing losses last weekend. I'd like to say that each team has great match-ups this week, but I can't. Should be a real stinker of a game and open for which team wants it more. I'll pick the Iron Pigs in this one. Iron Pigs 101 6 wide 95
Manning Vs. Food Vs 7 QB's Deep
Not much to write about here. I won't be picking 7 QB's again this year. Manning Vs. Food 111 7 QB's Deep 98
Clean Slate Vs. Thug Life
Might be the best matchup of the week. I like match-ups for both teams and should be a shootout of sorts. I'll go with Clean Slate as I think Fitz and the Bills will come up big this week.
Clean Slate 122 Thug Life 119
Blood & Thunder Vs. Cinderella Story
I really should pick B & T here, as his bye week situation this week is pretty much nil. However, despite a few bye week issues, I can't bet against a Cinderella team that has racked up the points this year, outside of last week that is.
Cinderella Story 126 Blood & Thunder 125
Repeal Obama Vs. Mission:Repeat
Mission Repeat is having some issues right now and R:O seems to be the team to exploit them. Without Aaron Rodgers, this M:R team is pedestrian. R:O has his issues too, but they seem to minor, at least for this week. R:O 99 M:R 89
I went 3-2-1 last week predicting, bringing my season record up to
27-13-2
The first game I lost last week was the unlikely Blood & Thunder over Iron Pigs 116 - 91. It was unlikely as B & T was definitely hurt by poor match-ups and Bye week issues. But like I mentioned in the intro, one big game out of a player gives you hope. Arian Foster, and his 42 fantasy points were the only reason B & T didn't need to bite his nails on MNF.
The other loss came at my shoot-for-the-moon bet, where I took 7 QB's Deep to pull one out.
LGBW suffered yet another tie last week. This time it was against 6 Wide. This seems to have prompted a name change, the second in the league this year. The teams unveiling ceremony comes this weekend as...drum roll... The Dreamkillers take on F Philly. I think the name says it all.
WEEK 8 Predictions
Dreamkillers Vs. F Philly
By having sole possession of the entire NY Jets football team, F Philly is in Bye week hell this week. As DK's "star" RB has the perfect opportunity to wreck Havok vs Indianapolis this week, so does the entire DK team. This will even the Win to Tie Ratio. Dreamkillers 105 F Philly 87
6 Wide Vs. Iron Pigs
Both teams suffering demoralizing losses last weekend. I'd like to say that each team has great match-ups this week, but I can't. Should be a real stinker of a game and open for which team wants it more. I'll pick the Iron Pigs in this one. Iron Pigs 101 6 wide 95
Manning Vs. Food Vs 7 QB's Deep
Not much to write about here. I won't be picking 7 QB's again this year. Manning Vs. Food 111 7 QB's Deep 98
Clean Slate Vs. Thug Life
Might be the best matchup of the week. I like match-ups for both teams and should be a shootout of sorts. I'll go with Clean Slate as I think Fitz and the Bills will come up big this week.
Clean Slate 122 Thug Life 119
Blood & Thunder Vs. Cinderella Story
I really should pick B & T here, as his bye week situation this week is pretty much nil. However, despite a few bye week issues, I can't bet against a Cinderella team that has racked up the points this year, outside of last week that is.
Cinderella Story 126 Blood & Thunder 125
Repeal Obama Vs. Mission:Repeat
Mission Repeat is having some issues right now and R:O seems to be the team to exploit them. Without Aaron Rodgers, this M:R team is pedestrian. R:O has his issues too, but they seem to minor, at least for this week. R:O 99 M:R 89
NFL Week 8 Game Predictions
Week 7 of the NFL season was not my favorite week of the season so far. Boy is that an understatement. Every game I wound up watching was either miserable to watch, TB-CHI, CAR-WAS, MIA-DEN, or complete and utter blowouts, DAL-STL, NO-IND. Then you have the games you check out, simply to see how a certain player does. Well this week it was a game time decision on Carson Palmer, and after an abysmal first half by Kyle Boller, you knew the new raider signal caller would be under center in the second half. Well, that was a disappointment as well, 3 picks-wow.
The best games were GB-Min, which, of course, I avoided thinking blow-out, and the MNF game, which turned out to be a pretty good game, a bit of a surprise, but a good game.
As far as predicting goes, well, I went 8-5. This was definitely one of those weeks I wish I could have back. In any case my season record is now 71-32.
The games I predicted incorrectly were:
The Jacksonville, KC games were just completely against conventional thinking I won't go into any detail. I'd pick them the same way this week, even after knowing what happened last week.
The Houston game wasn't as much a surprise regarding the outcome, but the manner in which Tennessee was manhandled all day long, that was a shock.
I have to give Atlanta some credit, I didn't think they'd be able to beat the Lions last week. Stafford wasn't his best and Turner had a good game.
I guess I should have included the Jets-Chargers game as a good game, if not the, game of the week. But I hate the Jets so I wasn't happy about that comeback. Rivers was terrible down the stretch there, typified by his last throw of the game. Really left you scratching your head.
Anyhow, onto Week 8.
Indianapolis @ Tennessee
Both teams were the victims of blowouts last week. Indy's been bad all year though. I have to go with Tennessee here. If Chris Johnson's going to get it going he'll have the best opportunity he'll have had all year this week. Tennessee 31 Indianapolis 13
New Orleans @ St. Louis
NO just blew out Indy, and now they get the Rams. Great schedule. Well, for St. Louis fans sakes, I'm pulling for the cards tonight. A win there will keep them on cloud 9 and anything the Rams do, or don't do, on Sunday will be irrelevant. NO 42 STL 10
Minnesota @ Carolina
Ponder looked pretty good in his first start by all accounts. But Cam Newton's been phenomenal all year. Have to go Panthers here. Hopefully it'll be a good game though. Carolina 28 Minnesota 17
Arizona @ Baltimore
Easy one. Arizona can't defend the pass + Baltimore just being embarrassed on MNF= Baltimore 35 Arizona 14
Jacksonville @ Houston
The Jags did a great job stopping Ray Rice on MNF. The question is can they stop Arian Foster? I don't think they'll be able to enough of it to win the game. Houston 21 Jacksonville 7
Detroit @ Denver
I'm a Tim Tebow Fan, but he was brutal for 55 minutes of that game against the Dolphins last week. Detroit is too good to overcome such a performance this week. I think Timmy will rebound but nowhere near enough the level he'll have to. Detroit 35 Denver 21
New England @ Pittsburgh
Good thing Big Ben's been slinging the rock around lately. He'll need to do the same this week against the Patriots. Should be a close game decided by who can score more points. Yes, I know that's the bottom line in any game, but it really holds true here. Can the Steelers offense keep up with Brady & Co? Not likely. NE 37 Pitt 30
Cleveland @ San Francisco
No real signs of life out of the Browns last week. The Niners have an elite defense and are at home. Sit any of your Cleveland fantasy players this week. SF 16 Cleveland 3
Cincinnati @ Seattle
Seattle plays tough at home, and has put some nice defensive efforts on their as well this year. Cincinnati's defense has been great all year. Low scoring game with the Bengals on top. Cincinnati 13 Seattle 6
Miami @ New York Giants
Miami is firmly entrenched in the Andrew Luck sweepstakes at this point. The Giants look as if the NFC East is their's to lose. I cannot see a possible scenario where Miami wins this win. NYG 38 Miami 14
Washington @ Buffalo in Toronto
I think Fitz and the boys will have plenty enough firepower to outscore Beck and the Skins. Buffalo 34 Washington 24
Sunday Night Football
Dallas @ Philadelphia
Tough divisional matter. Starting off as poorly as the Eagles have, every games a must-win. But that said I think the Cowboys are playing better football and despite a few poor decisions this year by their QB, they're the better team right now. Dallas 20 Philadelphia 17
Monday Night Football
San Diego @ Kansas City
I'm actually seeing some people picking the Chiefs here. I can't see it. I know how poorly Rivers has been playing lately but the Chiefs are not any good no matter how you slice it. I think Phil and the Bolts get well in this game, despite the hostile Arrowhead crowd. SD 26 KC 23
Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Chicago, New York Jets, Green Bay and Oakland have Week 8 Byes
Enjoy a great weekend of Football
The best games were GB-Min, which, of course, I avoided thinking blow-out, and the MNF game, which turned out to be a pretty good game, a bit of a surprise, but a good game.
As far as predicting goes, well, I went 8-5. This was definitely one of those weeks I wish I could have back. In any case my season record is now 71-32.
The games I predicted incorrectly were:
The Jacksonville, KC games were just completely against conventional thinking I won't go into any detail. I'd pick them the same way this week, even after knowing what happened last week.
The Houston game wasn't as much a surprise regarding the outcome, but the manner in which Tennessee was manhandled all day long, that was a shock.
I have to give Atlanta some credit, I didn't think they'd be able to beat the Lions last week. Stafford wasn't his best and Turner had a good game.
I guess I should have included the Jets-Chargers game as a good game, if not the, game of the week. But I hate the Jets so I wasn't happy about that comeback. Rivers was terrible down the stretch there, typified by his last throw of the game. Really left you scratching your head.
Anyhow, onto Week 8.
Indianapolis @ Tennessee
Both teams were the victims of blowouts last week. Indy's been bad all year though. I have to go with Tennessee here. If Chris Johnson's going to get it going he'll have the best opportunity he'll have had all year this week. Tennessee 31 Indianapolis 13
New Orleans @ St. Louis
NO just blew out Indy, and now they get the Rams. Great schedule. Well, for St. Louis fans sakes, I'm pulling for the cards tonight. A win there will keep them on cloud 9 and anything the Rams do, or don't do, on Sunday will be irrelevant. NO 42 STL 10
Minnesota @ Carolina
Ponder looked pretty good in his first start by all accounts. But Cam Newton's been phenomenal all year. Have to go Panthers here. Hopefully it'll be a good game though. Carolina 28 Minnesota 17
Arizona @ Baltimore
Easy one. Arizona can't defend the pass + Baltimore just being embarrassed on MNF= Baltimore 35 Arizona 14
Jacksonville @ Houston
The Jags did a great job stopping Ray Rice on MNF. The question is can they stop Arian Foster? I don't think they'll be able to enough of it to win the game. Houston 21 Jacksonville 7
Detroit @ Denver
I'm a Tim Tebow Fan, but he was brutal for 55 minutes of that game against the Dolphins last week. Detroit is too good to overcome such a performance this week. I think Timmy will rebound but nowhere near enough the level he'll have to. Detroit 35 Denver 21
New England @ Pittsburgh
Good thing Big Ben's been slinging the rock around lately. He'll need to do the same this week against the Patriots. Should be a close game decided by who can score more points. Yes, I know that's the bottom line in any game, but it really holds true here. Can the Steelers offense keep up with Brady & Co? Not likely. NE 37 Pitt 30
Cleveland @ San Francisco
No real signs of life out of the Browns last week. The Niners have an elite defense and are at home. Sit any of your Cleveland fantasy players this week. SF 16 Cleveland 3
Cincinnati @ Seattle
Seattle plays tough at home, and has put some nice defensive efforts on their as well this year. Cincinnati's defense has been great all year. Low scoring game with the Bengals on top. Cincinnati 13 Seattle 6
Miami @ New York Giants
Miami is firmly entrenched in the Andrew Luck sweepstakes at this point. The Giants look as if the NFC East is their's to lose. I cannot see a possible scenario where Miami wins this win. NYG 38 Miami 14
Washington @ Buffalo in Toronto
I think Fitz and the boys will have plenty enough firepower to outscore Beck and the Skins. Buffalo 34 Washington 24
Sunday Night Football
Dallas @ Philadelphia
Tough divisional matter. Starting off as poorly as the Eagles have, every games a must-win. But that said I think the Cowboys are playing better football and despite a few poor decisions this year by their QB, they're the better team right now. Dallas 20 Philadelphia 17
Monday Night Football
San Diego @ Kansas City
I'm actually seeing some people picking the Chiefs here. I can't see it. I know how poorly Rivers has been playing lately but the Chiefs are not any good no matter how you slice it. I think Phil and the Bolts get well in this game, despite the hostile Arrowhead crowd. SD 26 KC 23
Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Chicago, New York Jets, Green Bay and Oakland have Week 8 Byes
Enjoy a great weekend of Football
Friday, October 21, 2011
Fantasy Football League Week 7 Game Predictions
In week 6 of the Fantasy Football season we saw a sharp spike in point production. The effects that went relatively unnoticed despite bye week influence in Week 5 reared its ugly head, dramatically tilting more than a handful of games. Mission:Repeat, Repeal Obama, 7QB's deep all felt the impact of the bye week. Yet Manning Vs. Food continued his impressive high scoring routine. Thug Life joined the scoring frenzy as he dropped 144 on the then undefeated Repeal Obama, in what turned out to be the weeks Biggest Blowout.
Week 6 was also the rare occurrence of a tie, where LGBW made a late surge to tie the Iron Pigs, who, leaving sunday's games, must have felt fairly confident about where they sat. F Philly also came back in a big way with his NYJ contingency striking pay dirt as they came from behind to defeat 7 QB's Deep, which marked back to back monday nights where he saw defeats snatched from the grasp of victory.
On the prediction front I finished a meager 3-2-1 this past week. One of the two losses came to the depleted Mission Repeat team not getting that snot-factor production that typically is the bane of existence for Blood & Thunder, in a game much closer than the 31 point margin of victory would suggest. The second loss came from the "out of the blue" trouncing of the Undefeated Obama, as thug life brought out all he had to thoroughly destroy the last remaining undefeated team, thus narrowing the stranglehold on first place overall.
The 3-2-1 mark now brings my prediction record for the season to 24-11-1.
On to Week 7, which has all the makings for one monumentally brutal scoring drought, courtesy of BYE Week productions.
Blood & Thunder Vs. Iron Pigs
The Pigs get his lethal SD charger duo of V-Jax and Matthews back along with highly productive fantasy RB Daniel Thomas, from the Miami Dolphins. They'll line up alongside newly acquired QB Carson Palmer, just signed on Tuesday by the Oakland Raiders. B & T is riddled with Bye week blues, but his team has been staggering lately and last week proved that, as a relatively intact team put up a meager 99 points. He also has a pair of new QB's on the team, in Charlie Whitehurst, most likely a one week addition and rookie Christian Ponder. Nothing scary about that duo. B & T is perusing the rosters of other teams, looking for a trading partner. Iron Pigs 122 B & T 96
Repeal Obama Vs Manning Vs. Food
This should have been a marquis matchup. Would the Buzzsaw of MVF continue? How would RO's reaction to their first loss be revealed? It doesn't matter, and while snot-factor is a nemesis of most, MVF's team is battered with bye week problems. Probably much too great to hope to overcome. Repeal Obama 110 MVF 90
7 QB's Deep Vs Thug Life
I don't know about this game one bit. Thug Life clearly has a better roster, or a more productive roster I should say. But there's a gut feeling I have about 7QB's team this week. I'm going to pick the underdog here, simply because I feel the loss of Shady McCoy may be too much too overcome for Thug Life. 7QB's Deep 100 Thug Life 94
Mission:Repeat Vs Cinderella Story
Cinderella's team is gone this week. I see a zero chance scenario they pull this off. And for Mission:Repeat, what a matchup to unveil your newest toy, QB Tim Tebow, one he paid a hefty price tag for, in the likes of Pettigrew and Larry Fitzgerald. Mission:Repeat should have this settled early. M:R 109 Cinderella Story 78
Clean Slate Vs F Philly
Bye week disaster for Clean Slate this week sees F Philly muddying that tablet up. Nothing special about the F Philly Squad this week, but Clean Slate is hurting this week because of the Bye. F Philly takes this one, but it still should be a game. F Philly 82 Clean Slate 74
LeGarrettesblountwraps Vs 6 Wide
In the final game of Week 7 I see the LGBW actually gaining a big boost in confidence from coming back for the Week 6 tie. Both teams look a bit shaky this week, but I like LGBW this week in what appears to be a game that can go either way. LGBW 88 6 Wide 86
See you all in week 8
Week 6 was also the rare occurrence of a tie, where LGBW made a late surge to tie the Iron Pigs, who, leaving sunday's games, must have felt fairly confident about where they sat. F Philly also came back in a big way with his NYJ contingency striking pay dirt as they came from behind to defeat 7 QB's Deep, which marked back to back monday nights where he saw defeats snatched from the grasp of victory.
On the prediction front I finished a meager 3-2-1 this past week. One of the two losses came to the depleted Mission Repeat team not getting that snot-factor production that typically is the bane of existence for Blood & Thunder, in a game much closer than the 31 point margin of victory would suggest. The second loss came from the "out of the blue" trouncing of the Undefeated Obama, as thug life brought out all he had to thoroughly destroy the last remaining undefeated team, thus narrowing the stranglehold on first place overall.
The 3-2-1 mark now brings my prediction record for the season to 24-11-1.
On to Week 7, which has all the makings for one monumentally brutal scoring drought, courtesy of BYE Week productions.
Blood & Thunder Vs. Iron Pigs
The Pigs get his lethal SD charger duo of V-Jax and Matthews back along with highly productive fantasy RB Daniel Thomas, from the Miami Dolphins. They'll line up alongside newly acquired QB Carson Palmer, just signed on Tuesday by the Oakland Raiders. B & T is riddled with Bye week blues, but his team has been staggering lately and last week proved that, as a relatively intact team put up a meager 99 points. He also has a pair of new QB's on the team, in Charlie Whitehurst, most likely a one week addition and rookie Christian Ponder. Nothing scary about that duo. B & T is perusing the rosters of other teams, looking for a trading partner. Iron Pigs 122 B & T 96
Repeal Obama Vs Manning Vs. Food
This should have been a marquis matchup. Would the Buzzsaw of MVF continue? How would RO's reaction to their first loss be revealed? It doesn't matter, and while snot-factor is a nemesis of most, MVF's team is battered with bye week problems. Probably much too great to hope to overcome. Repeal Obama 110 MVF 90
7 QB's Deep Vs Thug Life
I don't know about this game one bit. Thug Life clearly has a better roster, or a more productive roster I should say. But there's a gut feeling I have about 7QB's team this week. I'm going to pick the underdog here, simply because I feel the loss of Shady McCoy may be too much too overcome for Thug Life. 7QB's Deep 100 Thug Life 94
Mission:Repeat Vs Cinderella Story
Cinderella's team is gone this week. I see a zero chance scenario they pull this off. And for Mission:Repeat, what a matchup to unveil your newest toy, QB Tim Tebow, one he paid a hefty price tag for, in the likes of Pettigrew and Larry Fitzgerald. Mission:Repeat should have this settled early. M:R 109 Cinderella Story 78
Clean Slate Vs F Philly
Bye week disaster for Clean Slate this week sees F Philly muddying that tablet up. Nothing special about the F Philly Squad this week, but Clean Slate is hurting this week because of the Bye. F Philly takes this one, but it still should be a game. F Philly 82 Clean Slate 74
LeGarrettesblountwraps Vs 6 Wide
In the final game of Week 7 I see the LGBW actually gaining a big boost in confidence from coming back for the Week 6 tie. Both teams look a bit shaky this week, but I like LGBW this week in what appears to be a game that can go either way. LGBW 88 6 Wide 86
See you all in week 8
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